Bay Area Disaster Watch

California Earthquake Risk and Bay Area Preparedness

California Earthquake Risk and Bay Area Preparedness

A new assessment puts the probability of a damaging California earthquake by 2055 at 74.1%, with increased estimates for the Hayward-Rodgers Creek, San Andreas, and Calaveras faults. The finding is a long-term risk update rather than an imminent prediction, reinforcing the need for household, utility, transit, and emergency-response preparedness.

Sources (2)
Updated Sep 3, 2026