Asia-Pacific Geopolitics Digest

PLA pressure on Taiwan intensifies; Taipei runs anti-blockade exercise

PLA pressure on Taiwan intensifies; Taipei runs anti-blockade exercise

Key Questions

What recent PLA activities are pressuring Taiwan?

The PLA is sustaining ADIZ incursions with about 26 aircraft and drones, conducting carrier operations, and holding new live-fire drills for invasion readiness. This intensifies gray-zone risks ahead of Taiwan's elections.

What military drills did Taiwan conduct on April 13?

Taiwan ran the Tian Long anti-blockade drill involving F-16Vs, drones, and Patriots to simulate countering a blockade. Officials deny delays in MQ-9B deliveries and describe such drills as standard.

How is Taiwan preparing for a potential Chinese blockade?

Taiwan launched civil-military exercises, including air force drills, to secure energy supply routes like LNG and oil against blockade scenarios. Civil defense is ramping up amid modernization efforts.

Could China blockade Taiwan without military invasion?

China could impose a quarantine using coast guard inspections to block trade, raise insurance costs, and force submission without firing a shot, potentially strangling Taiwan economically. This leaves the US facing a dilemma on response.

What is the context of Taiwan's anti-blockade exercises?

The exercises simulate countering a full regional blockade of the Taiwan Strait, described as standard procedure. They address heightened PLA pressure and election coercion from Beijing.

How are recent Middle East events influencing Taiwan concerns?

Hormuz chaos has sparked warnings that China could similarly strangle Taiwan's energy supplies without invasion, prompting drills to protect routes. This highlights global economic crisis risks from such actions.

What US involvement is noted with Taiwan amid tensions?

US Rep. Zach Nunn led a trade delegation to Taiwan in early April to boost agricultural ties. Taiwan's government is urged to lead engagement with China on new measures.

What is the overall status of PLA-Taiwan tensions?

Tensions are developing with sustained incursions, carrier ops, and drills signaling invasion readiness. Taiwan responds with exercises and denies capabilities gaps while ramping civil defense.

PLA sustains ADIZ incursions (~26 aircraft/drones), carrier ops, live-fire drills/invasion modernization. Taiwan Apr 13+ Tian Long drills secure energy routes (F-16Vs/drones/Patriots/LNG/oil); US Rep Zach Nunn delegation pushes trade/semicon deal; Beijing perks election coercion, gray-zone risks; civil defense ramps.

Sources (8)
Updated Apr 15, 2026