Fed Rate Tracker

• The April 28-29 FOMC meeting minutes were released at 2 pm ET today, offering a direct window into the Fed's latest policy talks.
• Markets are...

Philadelphia Fed President and CEO Anna Paulson shared her economic outlook in a keynote at the Atlanta Fed's 2026 Financial Markets Conference on May 19.

• Equities slip: S&P 500 fell 65 bps and closed below its 10-day EMA, a notable level after acting as support in April.
• Yields overextended: 30-year...

The April minutes, released under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, could reveal deeper divisions and a potential shift toward higher rates.

• Record...

Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson described risks to both inflation and the economic outlook as "super-elevated," making clear that a rate hike...

New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh brings prior Board of Governors experience as his early statements, centered on seven key words, point to possible shifts in interest rate direction.

Fed Leadership Transition

• 🔥 Senate Confirms Warsh: The U.S. Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh to lead the Federal Reserve on Wednesday.
• Trump...

Kevin Warsh steps into the Fed chair role Friday after Senate confirmation, with Trump pledging he can set rates independently. Yet the minutes from...

A new video explores whether oil price spikes from Iran tensions and resulting inflation could drive mortgage rates back toward 7%. It breaks down links between inflation, Treasury yields, and Federal Reserve policy for homebuyers.

The FOMC minutes offer a detailed record of the policy-setting meeting, providing direct insights into the committee's stance on rates and the economy. Watch for nuanced shifts in tone that could shape rate expectations.

Core PCE readings are projected to stay elevated near 3.3% through May, flashing fresh warnings for policymakers.

• Most economists now expect no...

Surging U.S. Treasury yields hit near 19-year highs on Tuesday, triggering the S&P 500's third straight decline as investors poured into bonds and...

NY Fed's Perli stated that the central bank's current rate control toolkit can effectively navigate lower reserve demand, supporting smooth monetary policy implementation amid shifting conditions.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered remarks on the outlook of the U.S. economy at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, offering fresh insights into potential interest rate policy directions.

• Dramatic reversal underway: Markets have swung from expecting cuts to pricing a possible rate hike by year-end at 60% odds amid surging inflation...

• Yield spike: 30-year Treasury hits 19-year high as investors retreat amid inflation concerns
• No relief seen: Persistent inflation drives demand...

30-year Treasury yields flirted with levels last seen in 2007 as price pressures mount, creating fresh challenges for the Federal Reserve according to Natixis Chief US Economist Christopher Hodge.

Analysts see the Fed boxed in by surging yields and inflation, forcing rate cuts further out.

• George Noble warns bond vigilantes are awakening with...

Federal Reserve research shows past and present attention to news accounts for up to 70 percent of observed forecast bias, with current attention playing a growing role in distorting expectations.

Expert forecasts clash on whether the Fed will hike soon under new leadership.

• Yardeni expects a rate hike by July, citing persistent economic...