Iran Conflict Tracker

Trump's decision to halt strikes while warning of "strong military action" if talks collapse reveals a high-stakes gamble on a narrow diplomatic...

The article poses the central question of trajectories in the U.S.-Iran conflict after the current pause and diplomatic moves.

Renewed tanker attacks in the Strait of Hormuz have pushed global crude above $100 a barrel, reversing June's price relief.

• Most EU countries saw...

Iranian drones hit targets near Erbil's US Consulate and other northern Iraq sites on July 28, triggering fires and US warplane responses.

At the...

The UAE is pursuing détente with Iran while planning to deepen defence co-operation with Israel and the US, reflecting persistent distrust of Tehran.

US officials view sanctions as more damaging than strikes, noting Iran's gasoline shortages and unpaid fighters.

• Yet G7 alignment on US designations...

• Mediators report significant progress in US-Iran talks, with Qatar and Pakistan bridging gaps for an interim ceasefire.
• No direct strikes for...

Short-term oil price relief from revived U.S.-Iran negotiation hopes is colliding with medium-term risks from Houthi attacks creating a two-front...

Israeli officials see clear advantage in letting the US fight Iran alone.

• Israeli position: Finance Minister Smotrich called the current US-only...

Key developments from the past 24 hours:

• US strikes paused since July 24 while maintaining naval blockade on Iranian ports
• Iran continues illegal...

• Diplomatic signals clash: Iran flatly denies current US negotiations, yet mediators cite “significant” progress on Hormuz shipping and a possible...

• Pre-war boom: Trade with Central Asia grew via INSTC, Chabahar, and EAEU deal.
• 2026 disruptions: Export bans and Hormuz tensions halted flows...

Iran has reshaped the Middle East balance in its favor by elevating the Strait of Hormuz as a new deterrent pillar, even after the war with Israel....

The pause marks a potential reset, but two angles clash on why.

• Decision brief view: CENTCOM's Adm. Cooper advised stopping Hormuz strikes after...

No significant updates today.

No significant updates today.

• Iran’s oil shipments to China collapsed from 1.74 million bpd in April to 550,000 in early July, with non-oil trade also slashed.
• Brent crude...

Iran's leadership faces simultaneous external war pressure and internal fractures, with diplomacy pitched as recovery tool while hardliners seize...

The Trump administration is requesting $67 billion in supplemental funding for the Iran War even as it claims victory and calls Iran's military...

Current standoff reveals conflicting calculations across actors.

• Iran's vow: Targets US interests until "complete surrender," amid ongoing strikes...