U.S. Fiscal Risk Digest

State & Local Budget Crises

State & Local Budget Crises

Key Questions

Which major cities and counties are reporting large budget deficits?

Cook County faces a $550.7M gap, Chicago a $130M mid-year shortfall, and Harris County a $180M deficit for the fifth consecutive year. LAUSD shows a $1.46B negative balance.

What is the scale of Washington's state budget growth and projected gaps?

Washington's operating budget has grown 230% since 2001 to $80.7B, with a $31.8B projected gap despite $15B in reserves. Credit rating warnings have been issued.

How are school districts and education budgets affected across states?

Chicago Public Schools reports a $732M deficit and $9B debt, while Omaha Public Schools faces a $50.6M shortfall from a state funding error. California education spending is $151.4B but adjusted for inflation shows decline.

What fiscal pressures are hitting Nebraska and Michigan budgets?

Nebraska's budget hole exceeds $1B, prompting a 5% university funding cut. Michigan's $75.2B budget includes a $600-900M shortfall and off-budget Medicaid taxes.

Which areas face unique crises like fiscal emergencies or bond spread widening?

Marion, Ohio, is in fiscal emergency with a $2.4M deficit. Corpus Christi sees muni bond spreads widen 60bp due to water scarcity risks.

How is Louisiana's revenue shifting impacting its budget?

Louisiana faces a $934M revenue drop tied to a shift toward sales taxes, compounding structural deficits.

What warnings have business leaders issued in Washington state?

Washington business leaders, including the Kraken CEO, have warned of spending doubling to $80B, credit downgrades, and pension sweeps driving businesses to leave.

What is the status of Kentucky's Medicaid funding gap?

Kentucky faces a larger Medicaid funding gap next year, with the governor relying on one-time surplus measures described as not a normal process.

Widespread structural deficits: Cook County $550.7M, Glendale $31.7M, Alaska $1.95B, Jersey City $255M, Chicago $130M mid-year gap, LAUSD $1.46B negative balance (new: $231M shortfall, potential layoffs/furloughs, 'Lack of Going Concern' finding), Bay Area transit bailout fight, Dallas $51M hole, Iowa City CSD fiscal crisis, Allegheny County pension crisis, Florida property tax amendment lawsuit, PA SNAP error penalty $410M/yr. New: DC Mayor Bowser refuses to sign budget over $837M fiscal cliff. Minneapolis $30M deficit, 13% property tax spike. Oregon Medicaid $421M hole. Texas community colleges face 15% funding drops. NYC transit $900M shortfall by 2030. St. Louis County $40M deficit. Chicago Public Schools zero cash reserves, $2.1B in TANs. San Antonio $158M deficit, first property tax rate increase in 30 years. Lee County, FL school district $47M shortfall. Walla Walla $7M cuts. New Mexico universal childcare $83M shortfall. Cullen, LA mayor resigns amid $90K IRS debt. Ohio counties selling delinquent property tax debt at 18% interest. Muni bonds worst July since 2003. Prichard, AL losing municipal insurance. Washington state supplemental budget reveals $1.5B shortfall, $80B biennium propped up by $4B one-time money. Massachusetts MMA report documents municipal fiscal crisis under Proposition 2½. New: New Hampshire state budget relies on one-time amnesty ($104M vs expected $5-8M) and lottery windfalls; business tax cuts over decade costing $1B+; $112.7M in back-of-budget cuts to agencies. NASBO survey shows declining balances but still above pre-pandemic highs; 22 states with targeted cuts, 11 below-forecast revenues. New: State Fiscal Outlook 2026 survey finds only 26 states stable, down from 40 two years ago; One Big Beautiful Bill Act adds Medicaid/SNAP pressure on states. New: Colorado SNAP error rate could cost taxpayers $180M–$210M annually starting 2027. New: Oregon transportation agency faces $200M budget gap, 550 job cuts, DMV closures. New: Des Moines $12M gap from state property tax caps, forcing police cuts. New: Guadalupe cancels theater restoration due to budget woes.

Sources (35)
Updated Aug 3, 2026