Global Hazard Watch

Potential Tropical Storm Bertha – Gulf Development Risk

Potential Tropical Storm Bertha – Gulf Development Risk

Key Questions

What are the chances of a tropical system developing in the Gulf of Mexico?

Dr. Maue's update indicates a 'coin flip' probability for the Gulf trough to develop into Tropical Storm Bertha. WeatherTiger's July 15th column notes a consistent low 20% chance for a Gulf system.

Which areas could be affected by this potential tropical development?

The developing threat targets the Gulf region, including Saucier, Mississippi. It is currently an emerging low-pressure system with no immediate impacts expected.

What monitoring is recommended for this Gulf weather system?

The system requires ongoing monitoring as a new developing threat but poses no immediate danger. Updates are available from NHC tracking reports and WeatherTiger's weekly analysis.

A tropical update from Dr. Maue highlights a potential Gulf trough that could develop into Tropical Storm Bertha, with a 'coin flip' probability. This is a new developing threat for the Gulf region, including Saucier, Mississippi. No immediate threat but requires monitoring. WeatherTiger's weekly column (July 15th) also notes a low-chance (20%) Gulf system, consistent with this potential development.

Sources (2)
Updated Jul 18, 2026