Bitcoin Watch

Strategic Bitcoin reserve push gains momentum; CLARITY Act on Senate's 'one-yard line' but hopes fading

Strategic Bitcoin reserve push gains momentum; CLARITY Act on Senate's 'one-yard line' but hopes fading

Key Questions

What is the status of the CLARITY Act in the Senate?

Treasury Secretary Bessent indicated the CLARITY Act is on the Senate's 'one-yard line,' but passage odds have dropped to the mid-40% range due to stablecoin yield issues and calendar congestion.

Why might the CLARITY Act stall until 2030?

Novogratz warned the bill could stall until 2030 if it fails to pass before the August recess, though its real value lies in providing long-term regulatory durability.

What other regulatory developments are advancing for crypto?

The ARMA bill is advancing, CFTC approved regulated crypto perpetual futures, Japan's crypto bill cleared a Diet committee, and the UK is progressing on crypto regulation.

How has the CLARITY Act optimism affected crypto stocks?

CLARITY Act optimism lifted MARA stock by nearly 5% and contributed to gains in COIN and broader crypto majors like XRP.

What role is the State Department playing in crypto policy?

The State Department named the Bitcoin Policy Institute as a partner in foreign policy engagement to advance Bitcoin-related initiatives.

What is the current outlook for Bitcoin price amid regulatory news?

Bitcoin is holding above $64k as traders brace for the Fed decision, with CLARITY Act optimism providing some support despite broader market caution.

How does the CLARITY Act aim to benefit crypto investors?

The bill seeks to provide clearer regulatory frameworks that could unlock the next wave of institutional adoption and reduce uncertainty for investors.

What factors are reducing odds of quick CLARITY Act passage?

A stablecoin yield standoff, ethics conflicts, and Senate calendar congestion have lowered passage odds, with potential delays until after the August recess.

Treasury Secretary Bessent signaled CLARITY Act on Senate's 'one-yard line', but passage odds dropped to mid-40% due to stablecoin yield standoff, ethics conflicts, calendar congestion. Hopes fading as August recess approaches; Novogratz warns may stall until 2030. BlackRock officially backed the bill. SEC Chair Paul Atkins sees bill advancing. Senate still needs 9 votes before recess. ARMA bill advances. CFTC approved regulated crypto perpetual futures. Japan's crypto bill cleared Diet committee. UK advancing crypto regulation. State Department named Bitcoin Policy Institute as partner.

Sources (6)
Updated Aug 2, 2026