Bitcoin Watch

Which force wins when ETF outflows clash with on-chain accumulation?

• Bearish pressure: Citi slashed its Bitcoin target to $82,000 and assumes zero...

Bitcoin faces a clear divergence between persistent institutional selling and short-term price resilience.

• Record eighth straight week of ETF...

June 2026 marked BTC's worst month in four years with a 20.5% drop, yet July has historically delivered gains after red Junes.

• Saylor argues...

ETF Flows Under Pressure

• 🔥 Persistent Outflows: Bitcoin ETFs recorded $2 billion in outflows over two weeks including a $526 million weekly...

Multiple on-chain signals are converging on a historic accumulation zone and potential cyclical bottom.

• Long-term holders now control 78% of...

Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded $2 billion in outflows over two weeks, including $1.8B for the week ending June 26 and $231M on June 29, with June totaling...

Michael Saylor declares the traditional 4-year Bitcoin cycle obsolete, now replaced by institutional capital flows from ETFs, corporate treasuries,...

• Whale accumulation: Large holders added 270k BTC (~$16.7B) in two weeks despite selling pressure
• ETF flow reversal: $4B June outflows flipped with...

Whale wallets absorbed 270,000 BTC worth $16.7 billion in late June even as spot ETFs posted record $4.06 billion outflows.

Realized P&L ratio hit a...

Persistent selling pressure dominated June with $4.5B in net outflows, the worst month since ETF launches, keeping weekly flows negative despite a...

Bitcoin's next move sparks contrasting takes on catalysts versus prolonged bottoming.

• HTX Research requires three shifts: monetary easing, better...

Markets assign an 82.4% probability the Fed holds rates steady in July, reflecting a cautious stance that delays easing. This data-dependent approach...

Bitcoin's on-chain indicators are stacking at historic lows that preceded every major bull run, converging with macro bottom signals in gold and...

Bitcoin ETF net inflows have plunged to just over $51 billion from a $63 billion peak, marking $11 billion in outflows as the selloff accelerates to...

On-Chain Indicators

• 🔥 P&L Ratio Hits Low: Bitcoin’s realized profit and loss ratio fell to a 43-month low of -0.35 on July 3, a level that has...

• Whales absorbed 270,000 BTC ($16.7B) over two weeks as US ETFs saw record $4.06B outflows, echoing the exact divergence at prior cycle lows
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Bitcoin ETFs recorded $221.7M net inflows on July 2, snapping a 10-day, $2.7B outflow streak after softer June jobs data reduced rate-hike odds.

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Clifton Collins deposited another 500 BTC ($30.85M) to Coinbase Prime, extending three months of activity from this early holder. After acquiring...

US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $221.7 million in net inflows on Thursday, ending a 10-day outflow streak of over $2.7 billion and marking the first...

July 8 Fed minutes could reinforce hawkish signals, with the median year-end rate projection now at 3.8% and half of officials eyeing at least one...