Trump Policy Watch

Clashes over Trump’s budgets, tariffs, and Federal Reserve power

Clashes over Trump’s budgets, tariffs, and Federal Reserve power

Trump vs. the Economic Guardrails

Clashes Over Trump’s Budgets, Tariffs, and Federal Reserve Power Reach New Heights in 2026

As the United States enters the second half of 2026, the political landscape is more fractured and volatile than ever. Central to this turmoil is President Donald Trump’s relentless push to expand executive authority across multiple domains—trade, fiscal policy, emergency powers, and the independence of key institutions. These aggressive maneuvers have ignited a constitutional crisis, testing the resilience of American democracy and raising profound questions about the future of governance, legality, and institutional independence.

Escalating Conflict: Trump’s Drive for Executive Dominance

Throughout 2026, Trump has continued to challenge the traditional separation of powers, employing a broad arsenal of executive orders, emergency declarations, and legal strategies to assert control. His actions have not only deepened partisan divides but also prompted significant judicial interventions, highlighting the ongoing battle for constitutional boundaries.

Trade Policies and Tariffs: Defying Legal and Judicial Limits

Despite legal setbacks, Trump remains committed to his protectionist trade agenda:

  • Supreme Court Ruling on Tariffs: In early 2026, the Supreme Court struck down Trump’s claimed authority to impose tariffs unilaterally, affirming that the Constitution grants Congress—and not the President—the power to regulate trade. This ruling was hailed as a vital check, reinforcing the constitutional line. However, Trump responded with an executive order that signaled his intention to maintain and expand tariffs, including a 10% global tariff on imports—an act viewed as defiance of the court’s decision.

  • Planned Tariff Expansions: Trump announced plans for additional tariffs aimed at protecting American manufacturing and revitalizing domestic industries. His rhetoric remains combative, claiming "I’ve WON affordability," while economic analysts warn of long-term damage, higher consumer prices, and retaliation from trade partners.

  • Use of Emergency Powers: Leveraging the Defense Production Act, the Trump administration prioritized glyphosate production amid ongoing supply chain disruptions, citing national defense needs. Critics argue this is a misuse of wartime powers to influence economic policy, further blurring the lines between military authority and economic governance. This move underscores the administration’s willingness to deploy emergency powers to shape economic outcomes.

Budget Deadlocks and Government Shutdown Risks

Congress remains sharply divided over fiscal priorities:

  • Defense and Infrastructure Spending: Trump advocates for substantial increases in defense and infrastructure budgets, but Democratic opposition over social spending and fiscal restraint has led to deadlock negotiations. These disagreements raise the risk of prolonged government shutdowns, which could result in federal agency paralysis, delayed payments, and market instability.

  • Partisan Campaigns: Viral videos such as "Dems HUMILIATE Schumer, 'Break Ranks' Over Trump Deal" exemplify the intense partisan discord fueling governance crises and public frustration.

Efforts to Undermine the Federal Reserve

Trump’s antagonistic stance toward the Federal Reserve has intensified:

  • Nomination Strategy and Public Statements: Trump has nominated interest rate advocates and publicly called for diminishing the Fed’s independence, pressuring or attempting to influence its policies. Despite the 2026 Supreme Court ruling affirming the Fed’s independence—a landmark decision—Trump continues to react vehemently, ordering the Fed to halt certain policies and exploring legal avenues to weaken its autonomy.

  • Judicial Resistance: Courts continue to uphold the Fed’s independence, but Trump’s ongoing efforts to exert influence threaten to undermine this safeguard, risking institutional destabilization.

Expansion of Emergency and Immigration Powers

  • Glyphosate and Defense Powers: Invoking the Defense Production Act, Trump’s prioritization of glyphosate manufacturing has sparked debate over the scope of wartime authority in economic contexts. Critics warn of overreach that could set dangerous precedents.

  • Immigration Enforcement: The Department of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) has expanded detention capacity and accelerated deportations, raising concerns about violations of legal protections and international commitments. These measures deepen polarization and challenge constitutional protections.

  • Justice Department Resignations: Amid these conflicts, senior DOJ lawyers have resigned over concerns regarding politicization, highlighting internal dissent and questioning the independence of the justice system during this turbulent period.

Landmark Legal and Judicial Developments

The judiciary continues to serve as a critical check, with key rulings reaffirming constitutional limits:

  • The Supreme Court’s 2026 decision reaffirmed the Fed’s independence, limiting presidential influence over monetary policy and serving as a major legal safeguard.

  • Multiple federal judges have blocked Trump’s unilateral actions—such as a $16 billion funding freeze targeting partisan projects—affirming that executive actions must adhere to legal standards.

  • A notable recent development is the permanent blocking of the release of Special Counsel Jack Smith’s investigative report into Trump’s alleged misconduct. A federal judge barred its public disclosure, emphasizing the judiciary’s role in protecting sensitive investigations and preventing politically motivated leaks.

  • Grand jury investigations into allegations of misconduct, obstruction, and corruption continue, posing ongoing legal threats to Trump’s political future. These probes are closely monitored, with potential for criminal charges or political fallout.

Recent Legal and Political Highlights

  • Trump denounced the Supreme Court’s decision as "overreach," vowing to find alternative ways to enforce tariffs and resist legal constraints.

  • The resignation of senior DOJ officials over politicization concerns underscores internal dissent and the fragile independence of the justice system.

  • Congressional hearings have scrutinized ICE’s expanded enforcement measures. A recent fiery exchange featured Representative Garcia condemning "ICE mayhem" and asserting, "He's willing to destroy law," fueling public backlash and legislative scrutiny.

  • Rachel Maddow’s analysis underscores the constitutional stakes of Trump’s expanded emergency powers, warning that executive overreach threatens the balance of powers.

Recent Developments: Moving Toward Unilateral Election Rule Changes

Adding to the mounting tensions, President Trump has recently directed efforts to unilaterally rewrite election rules—a move that signals his continued push for executive dominance over the electoral process:

  • Title: Trump moves to rewrite election rules unilaterally
    WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump has directed his White House counsel’s office to explore executive actions that could alter voting procedures and election administration without Congress's approval. These measures aim to tighten voter ID requirements, limit mail-in voting, and reshape oversight of election agencies. Critics warn that these moves threaten to undermine electoral integrity, increase partisanship, and expand executive overreach in a domain traditionally protected from unilateral presidential action.

This effort is viewed as a direct attempt to influence midterm elections and secure a political advantage, heightening fears of constitutional violations and institutional erosion. The move has already prompted sharp bipartisan opposition, with legal challenges and warnings from election officials about the risks of politicizing the vote.

Broader Implications and Current Status

As 2026 unfolds, the series of legal, political, and institutional confrontations paint a picture of a nation on edge. Courts have acted decisively to uphold norms—such as the independence of the Fed and the rule of law—but Trump’s persistent resistance and unilateral maneuvers threaten to undermine these safeguards.

The ongoing grand jury investigations and legal battles over misconduct continue to cast a shadow over Trump’s political future, while his massive campaign war chest and media campaigns keep him at the center of electoral debates. The midterm elections and potential legal charges could serve as pivotal moments in either restoring institutional checks or further consolidating executive dominance.

In sum, 2026 marks a critical juncture—where the clash over presidential power, economic policy, and institutional independence may determine whether American democracy can withstand the pressures of an increasingly polarized and constitutional crisis-ridden environment. The outcome will have profound consequences, not only for the balance of power but for the very fabric of American governance in the years ahead.

Sources (25)
Updated Feb 26, 2026