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Fed decisions, inflation data, and economic trends
Explore the latest content tracked by Economic Pulse Inflation & Markets
EUR/USD hovers near 1.17 as traders await core PCE to gauge whether the Fed will ease further or stay cautious. A hot print would likely lift the dollar and cap euro gains, while a soft result could open the path toward 1.18.
July PCE held at 3.7% annually with core at 3.3%, hotter than expected on headline and leaving rates far from the 2% target.
Four regional Fed banks recommended higher discount rates ahead of the July decision, revealing internal splits over inflation risks versus growth...
Two key indicators point to spreading economic softness:
Hawkish dissent from three FOMC voters plus four districts backing a discount rate hike signals internal pushback, even as softer data tempers broader...
Latest indicators show inflation cooling only gradually.
New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh slashed the post-meeting statement from 341 to 130 words, stripping out all rate-cut guidance. This signals a deliberate...
Different inflation gauges send distinct signals that directly shape Fed decisions and market reactions.
Regional Fed directors exposed sharp internal splits on inflation risks.
Rising borrowing costs for heavily indebted governments and strains in sovereign bond markets are forcing investors to confront who pays the government's bill.
US consumer confidence fell to a seven-month low in August amid worsening views on jobs and business conditions. This early warning on household...
The Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index came in at 4 against 7 expected, a modest miss that stays in expansion territory and aligns with typical regional...
De-escalation signals cut crude 3% to $82.36, lifting every major U.S. airline and pushing Treasury yields lower across the curve.
Yet consumer...
Freddie Mac's weekly survey reports the 30-year fixed mortgage fell to 6.65% as of August 20, down from 6.67% the prior week.
Zillow's daily data...
