Midterm Election Landscape

Competitive House and Senate; generic ballot D+6. Key races: TX Senate (Talarico leads Paxton), AK governor (Begich surge), GA governor (Bottoms vs Jackson tightening), NC Senate (Cooper +11), OH Senate (Brown steady), MI Senate (El-Sayed trails), FL governor (Donalds leads primary with Trump endorsement). Trump greenlights $30M PAC for vulnerable GOP incumbents but internal pessimism high. Trump stumps in NY suburbs despite poor polling. Iran war and gas prices drag on GOP.