Iran Conflict & Oil Watch

Post-ceasefire military escalation reignited with new strikes on Israel and nuclear scare

Post-ceasefire military escalation reignited with new strikes on Israel and nuclear scare

Key Questions

What new strikes have occurred since the ceasefire?

Iran launched a fresh IRGC missile barrage on Tel Aviv on June 16, with the Iron Dome reportedly under pressure. Iran also accuses Israel of 84 ceasefire violations in Lebanon.

Are there risks of nuclear incidents in the conflict?

There have been nuclear leak scares at Bushehr and Natanz amid ongoing US strikes near Qeshm Island. Hezbollah has also deployed new Iran-linked ballistic missiles against Israel.

What military lessons have emerged from the escalation?

Zhou Bo's analysis highlights that cheap drones, mines, and shore-based missiles held Hormuz hostage, showing that decapitation strategies failed. The peace deal has not halted hostilities.

Fresh IRGC missile barrage on Tel Aviv on June 16, Iron Dome reportedly under pressure. Iran accuses Israel of 84 ceasefire violations in Lebanon. Nuclear leak scare at Bushehr/Natanz amid ongoing US strikes near Qeshm Island. Unexplained explosions near Hormuz. Hezbollah deploys new Iran-linked ballistic missile. US shoots down Iranian drones over Hormuz. Trump threatens to resume bombing if nuclear deal fails. New: Iran attacks 18 US military targets in retaliation. Zhou Bo op-ed highlights that cheap drones, mines, and shore-based missiles held Hormuz hostage, and decapitation failed—structural military lessons. The peace deal has not stopped hostilities. New: ISW report confirms Iran still attacking ships; US base relocation under review. Status: developing (escalation resuming).

Sources (1)
Updated Jun 28, 2026