US Market Volatility Tracker

FOMC hawkish vol peaks: No cuts to 2028 S&P 7200 ATH trap

FOMC hawkish vol peaks: No cuts to 2028 S&P 7200 ATH trap

Key Questions

What was the FOMC's stance?

FOMC voted 8-4 for no cuts until 2028, possibly a hike, with Powell citing GDP 2%, PCE 3.2% sticky, and low claims at 189k. This sparked hawkish vol peaks.

How did markets react to FOMC?

S&P broke 7200 ATH first time but in a chop trap, OVX 4x VIX gaps, semis resilient amid earnings dispersion, VIX ~17.

What other central banks acted?

BoE and ECB held rates steady as S&P 500 broke 7200. This aligned with hawkish FOMC tone.

What is the status of this highlight?

The highlight is developing, with hawkish vol peaks and S&P 7200 ATH trap.

What hedges were suggested?

ES7200 hedges amid thin liq ORBs, given the rotation and volatility.

Hawkish 8-4 no cuts to2028/poss hike Powell GDP2%/PCE3.2% sticky low claims 189k spark S&P 7200 first break chop OVX4xVIX gaps semis resilient earnings dispersion VIX~17 thin liq ORBs/ES7200 hedges BoE/ECB hold.

Sources (5)
Updated May 1, 2026
What was the FOMC's stance? - US Market Volatility Tracker | NBot | nbot.ai