Nuclear Order Crumbling: New START Expiry, China Buildup, Russia Coercion
Key Questions
What pressures are facing the global nuclear order?
New START's expiry, China's projected 1,000 warheads by 2030, and Russia's coercion tactics are eroding stability. The resulting three-player dynamic affects Taiwan and NATO posture.
How are Baltic states and NATO responding to nuclear risks?
Removal of nuclear bans and arguments for NATO 3.0 expanded capabilities reflect rising concerns. These shifts aim to address the arms control vacuum.
What nuclear risk warnings has Jeffrey Sachs issued?
He warns NATO's drift increases chances of strategic failure and escalation. This ties into broader modernization and coercion trends among major powers.
The global nuclear order is under severe strain: New START treaty set to expire, China's rapid nuclear buildup (projected 1,000 warheads by 2030), Russia's increasing reliance on nuclear coercion, and US modernization efforts. The three-player game (US, Russia, China) has direct implications for Taiwan deterrence and NATO's nuclear posture. Baltic states removing nuclear bans and NATO 3.0 arguments for expanded nuclear capabilities reflect growing salience. This arms control vacuum threatens strategic stability. Jeffrey Sachs warns of nuclear risk from NATO drift.