Record FY2026 Q4 and guidance — digestion ongoing amid sell-off/rebound/Iran FUD/GS buy
Key Questions
What were Nvidia's FY2026 financial results?
Nvidia reported FY2026 revenue of $215.9 billion, up 65% year-over-year, with Q4 revenue at $68.1 billion. The company provided Q1 guidance of $78 billion.
Why did Nvidia's stock sell off after earnings?
The stock experienced a 10%+ sell-off, dropping to a low of $164, amid hedge fund equity sales, a rare 13-year shift, and geopolitical FUD from Iran tensions causing dips to $173. It rebounded to $177 and closed at $178.
What is the technical analysis outlook for Nvidia stock?
The stock is in a sideways trap with a head-and-shoulders pattern; holding $177.64 could lead to $195 upside, while breaking to $172-161 signals downside. RSI is oversold, suggesting potential rebound.
What do analysts say about Nvidia post-earnings?
Goldman Sachs recommends buying the dip, Zacks ranks it #1, and median price targets range from $265-323, implying 52% upside. Earnings estimates for tech stocks, including Nvidia, have been revised upward.
How is Nvidia valued currently?
Nvidia trades at a low 20x forward P/E, presenting a once-in-a-decade buying opportunity according to some analysts. Profit margins are expected to surge 55% over the next 5 years.
What future growth drivers were highlighted?
Nvidia launched next-gen data center chips, with GB300 at 50x H100 performance and Rubin targeted for FY27 with $370B revenue projection, up 71%. Foxconn validation and DC chips 11x better than AMD were noted.
Were there any notable insider activities?
Insiders sold $4.11 billion in shares. Various funds like Woodstock Corp, Congress Park Capital, and Game Plan Financial adjusted positions, with some selling and others holding Nvidia as a top position.
How did external events impact the stock?
Iran war escalation fears caused intraday dips to $173 low before rebounding. Despite slips like 1.5% on certain days, analysts like Goldman Sachs remain bullish on big tech including Nvidia.
FY $215.9B +65% (Q4 $68.1B), Q1 $78B guid/10%+ sell-off $164 low/rebound $177/Iran dips $174.99-$173 low $178 close/TA sideways trap H&S $177.64 hold $172-161 down $195 go/RSI oversold; 20x fwd P/E low/Zacks #1/GS buy dip/quantum/PT median $265-323 +52%/Foxconn validation/DC 11x AMD/insiders $4.11B sales/GB300 50x H100 Rubin FY27 $370B +71%.