Multi-front conflict escalation in Ethiopia
Key Questions
What is happening with the conflict in Ethiopia outside Tigray?
Fighting has expanded into Amhara and Oromia regions, raising the risk of simultaneous insurgencies. The Pretoria Agreement is failing as the TPLF is accused of retaining heavy weapons and human rights abuses including sexual violence by TDF continue.
Why are war fears rising in the Horn of Africa?
Border militarization between Ethiopia and Eritrea is intensifying alongside the breakdown of the Tigray peace deal. This combination increases the likelihood of renewed large-scale conflict.
What does the Pretoria Agreement status mean for Tigray?
The agreement is considered ineffective due to TPLF non-compliance on disarmament. This failure threatens to reignite one of the world's deadliest recent wars.
Fighting is expanding beyond Tigray into Amhara and Oromia, with risk of simultaneous insurgencies. The Pretoria Agreement in Tigray is failing—TPLF accused of retaining heavy weapons, border militarization with Eritrea intensifies, and human rights abuses (including sexual violence by TDF) continue. War fears are rising.