Aluminium Asia Outlook

Hindalco Strong FY26 Results and India's Rise as Aluminium Hub

Hindalco Strong FY26 Results and India's Rise as Aluminium Hub

Key Questions

What drove Hindalco's strong FY26 results?

Hindalco's results were led by strong momentum in its India business, earning the company a top 1% global ESG ranking in aluminium. This performance highlights India's growing role as a non-China Asian production hub with a 3.3% CAGR supply growth projection.

Why are analysts bullish on Indian aluminium producers?

Morgan Stanley sees 20% upside for Hindalco due to supply tightness, while Axis Securities remains positive on Hindalco, Nalco, and Vedanta with target prices in the $2,800-$3,000/t range. Fitch upgraded Vedanta Resources to 'BB' citing strong aluminium prices.

How is India positioned in the global aluminium market?

India is emerging as a strategic Asian hub diversifying away from Middle East and China supply risks. Total annual aluminium supply in India, combining primary and secondary, is forecasted to expand significantly in the medium term.

Hindalco posts strong FY26 results led by India business momentum and earns top 1% global ESG ranking in aluminium, signaling growing non-China Asian ESG focus. Morgan Stanley sees 20% upside on supply tightness. Axis Securities also bullish on Hindalco, Nalco, Vedanta with price range $2,800-$3,000/t. Fitch upgrades Vedanta Resources to 'BB' on strong aluminium prices, reinforcing India's role. India is projected to grow aluminium supply at 3.3% CAGR, emerging as a strategic Asian production hub diversifying away from Middle East and China.

Sources (2)
Updated Jun 13, 2026