Iran Conflict Tracker

Iran is using the Strait of Hormuz as leverage to extract sanctions relief and a ceasefire before US midterms, leaving Trump weighing energy-market...

Iran's regime emerged stronger after absorbing 13,000 US-Israeli strikes and losing top leaders, thanks to pre-planned succession, imports, and a vast...

Secondary sanctions now extend to Iran's civilian airlines, barring landings in multiple neighboring countries after September 23.

• UAE suspended...

Iran's seven-day Strait of Hormuz proposal signals a potential de-escalation path but reveals Tehran's firm stance against nuclear concessions.

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Chinese geospatial data has enabled Iran to conduct precision strikes on US bases and better track ships in the Strait of Hormuz, boosting targeting...

The US has long shouldered the greatest economic, political and security burdens when confronting Iran, while allies resist sharing costs and Tehran...

Chinese dual-use electronics continue flowing to Iran and Russia for advanced drones because many components are small, commercially available items...

油价周五下跌，因美伊谈判讨论分阶段协议，伊朗可能允许霍尔木兹海峡通航换取美方解除封锁。 此前6月17日谅解备忘录已崩盘，此次谈判细节仍不明朗，脆弱安排能否持久存疑。

China's oil purchases remain the decisive pressure point that new US sanctions on Iran cannot control alone. Even after decades of sanctions since...

US sanctions on September 8 targeted 36 aviation entities and 27 Iranian airlines, including Mahan Air for alleged military links. Neighbouring states...

The Strait of Hormuz is the core bargaining chip because Iran controls passage while the U.S. blockade strangles its economy, yet this mutual leverage...

New US secondary sanctions have forced the UAE to suspend all Iranian airline flights, severing a vital link to Dubai's commercial hub. Oman, Georgia,...

Iran may expand the war to the Indian Ocean if the US or Israel attacks it again, according to a military adviser to Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei. This warning signals a potential widening of the conflict's maritime reach beyond current zones.

US sanctions enforcement has halted Iranian flights into Baghdad, with ground handlers citing fears of penalties.

• Militia backlash: Iran-backed...

Iran's post-1979 revolutionary ideology—built on exporting Velayat-e Faqih through proxies—has evolved into direct missile strikes on the UAE and...

• Escalation trap defined: Tactical military successes like strikes or blockades can motivate the target to survive and refuse to back down
• Drone...

Commodity vessel transits through the Strait of Hormuz edged up to 10 ships on Wednesday from seven the prior day, remaining below the 10-day average...

A settlement ending enrichment but preserving missiles, proxies, and maritime leverage will not resolve the US-Iran conflict—it will only reschedule...

• 伊朗封锁霍尔木兹海峡后，沙特与阿联酋通过管道及暗船航线恢复约800万桶/日供应，避免供应崩溃
• 油价维持在约100美元/桶，高于战前但未达140-150美元，库存消耗与需求下降缓解压力
• 绕行成本高昂：租船费飙升至每日百万美元，航程延长一个月，工作绕行难持续

• 特朗普政府启动“Operation Economic Outcast”，对伊朗石油、金融等关键部门实施史上最严制裁。
• 新规将执行责任与违规风险直接转嫁私营企业，第三国金融机构面临开户禁令或严格限制。
• EO 13902新增航空、数字资产、黄金、航运、科技等五部门，全面切断伊朗资金流动渠道。
• 第三国须在规定期限内停止涉伊业务，否则将面临美方单边制裁，伊朗经济回旋余地进一步缩小。