Iran Conflict Tracker

Gulf states on edge: UAE faces growing political discomfort amid rising tensions and uncertain Iran diplomacy.

• Israel complicates matters:...

Eroding proxy control in Iraq emerges from multiple angles:

• Political transitions: New government formation after 2025 elections, with PM candidate...

• China's vulnerability: Iran notes Beijing suffered significantly from Hormuz disruptions, as the strait handles vital oil imports for China's energy...

Signs of regime collapse mount as vulnerabilities deepen:

• Terminal economic crisis grips Iran amid tightening naval blockade, rendering military...

• Sanctions' rising toll: Ehud Barak warns they inflict mounting damage far beyond Iran.
• War's crash risk: Full conflict could shatter investment...

• Iran-backed Hezbollah bombed an Israeli military bulldozer and hit multiple IDF vehicles.
• Over 17 strikes launched in a short period, amid...

Gulf Realignments and Strikes

• 🔥 Saudi Airstrikes Exposed: Saudi Arabia secretly launched retaliatory airstrikes on Iran after missile and drone...

Pakistan's dual role complicates US-Iran talks: Signing energy deals with Iran while mediating for Washington exposes flaws in America's transactional...

US-Israeli-Iran war catalyzes shifting alliances and security rethink in Middle East.

Key briefing insights:

• Gulf at epicenter: UAE bears brunt of...

Iran is rallying BRICS countries against US and Israeli military actions, casting regional conflicts as resistance to American power at the summit. This diplomatic maneuver aims to broaden anti-Western alliances.

Multi-stakeholder views highlight diplomatic deadlock over Strait of Hormuz tensions:

• Iran's priorities: Ceasefires, regional stability, safe...

Iran's two-pronged Hormuz clampdown escalates tensions:

• Military blockade: Banned US supplies to bases in Kuwait/Qatar, shifting to direct...

China's economic dominance enables Iran's resilience against US military actions:

• Hormuz veto: Beijing's 25-year Iran deal, top Saudi partner...

Escalating deniable attacks signal a dangerous trend in the Iran-Gulf shadow war:

• Saudi's first direct airstrikes on Iran this year, retaliating...

Diplomatic pressure builds as Qatar, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait sponsor a UNSC resolution targeting Iran's Strait of Hormuz controls.

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High morale shines through massive street presence, showing Iranians' resolve to defend sovereignty.

• Thwarts US-Israeli armed proxy plots inside...

• Diplomatic spotlight: China addresses its Iran policy and regional stability before Trump-Xi talks on trade, energy security, and diplomacy.
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IEA alerts: Countries tap reserves at record pace from Iran war supply shocks.

• Supply plunge of 3.9M barrels/day outpaces demand drop.
• 1B+ barrels lost from Middle East already.
• Analyst: No recovery before 2027, even if Hormuz reopens.

• Military holds strong: Iran retains 60% of missile capability after 10 weeks of war.
• Economic collapse looms: Inflation at 53.7%, food prices up...

Diplomacy's fatal miss: Two days before Operation Epic Fury (Feb 28, 2026), Iran agreed via Oman to zero uranium enrichment and full verification—48...