Macro Metals & Currency Watch

US-Iran Talks Collapse

• 🔥 No Agreement After Marathon Sessions: US Vice President JD Vance stated no deal reached with Iran after 21 hours of...

• Top 6 banks project ~$40bn Q1 trading revenues from war-driven vol in equities ($18bn, 2x decade ago) and FICC
• Hormuz transits collapse 94%,...

• Talks launch: Historic direct US-Iran negotiations begin in Pakistan amid fragile 2-week ceasefire; Hormuz grip cuts oil exports, prices soar.
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• Gold surges on weaker USD (down 1% to 4-week low) and fragile ceasefire fueling safe-haven demand; central banks add structural support.
• Silver...

• Record inflows signal bull: 2025 ETF net inflows +283% to ₹429.6B, AUM to ₹64,777cr (+88%); Jan'26 hit ₹24k cr amid war risks (US-Iran, West...

Perfect rejection from the 5170 resistance zone sent gold dropping exactly as analyzed, with all targets hit. Demand zone now locked, upside targets stacked for bullish trades – layer longs on pullbacks.

US-Iran Negotiations Progress

• Vance Leads Talks with Positive Outlook: US Vice President JD Vance departed for Pakistan expecting positive...

US-Iran negotiations in Pakistan teeter on a knife-edge timeline:

• Pakistan mediates push: Officials drive for direct face-to-face talks, or...

Vance's mixed signals underscore negotiation risks amid fragile truce:

• Key role: Pivotal in Islamabad talks, Pakistan seeks extended stay for...

• Silver structural breakout: Cleared $56, surged past $120, consolidating $60-75; eyes $300-500 on tenfold expansion.
• Gold key level: Resistance at...

Oil and Ceasefire Fragility

• 🔥 WTI Oil Above $100: WTI oil is currently trading back above $100 a barrel amid ceasefire fragility involving US,...

WTI surges back above $100/bbl amid Middle East tensions:

• Markets price ceasefire fragility just 36 hours in
• Driven by US-Iran-Israel negotiation complexities and disagreements
• Key for traders: Geo-risk supports $100 floor, watch energy sentiment.

• CPI pivotal: Core CPI at 2.7% YoY could dash rate cut hopes, pressuring gold below $4915 SMA toward $4400 support; softer data fuels $5000 push.
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• Iran hardens stance: No delegation to Pakistan pre-ceasefire, demanding US concessions on Lebanon.
• Lebanon twist: Plans Washington talks next...

Gold's conventional role as a portfolio risk management tool has been brought into question after a dramatic five-week period for commodity prices. Morgan Stanley urges investors to look elsewhere.

Ceasefire Rallies in BTC, Equities & Silver

• 🔥 Tom Lee Calls Bottom: Tom Lee states the US-Iran ceasefire marks the bottom for stocks and...

• Risk-on surge: S&P eyes 180+ pt gain to reclaim 200DMA at 6624; BTC tops $72k alongside equities as oil crashes 20% to $94.
• Tom Lee calls 'bottom...

Contrasting views signal choppy gold action amid fragile truce:

• Bullish lean: Ceasefire boosts risk-on, short-term bias up targeting $5000 with...

• 50+ new wallets bet big on US-Iran ceasefire Tuesday morning, despite Trump's escalation threats on Strait of Hormuz.
• Profits soared: one turned...

• Top-tier launch: MSBT drew $34M inflows and 1.6M shares on day one, ranking in top 1% of ETF debuts with cheapest 0.14% fee.
• Bank breakthrough:...