Macro Metals & Currency Watch

PM flows: Gold ETF $11B out/DXY rotation/China PBOC +5t buys/Gundlach/Dalio/JPM $6300/contrarian rebound

PM flows: Gold ETF $11B out/DXY rotation/China PBOC +5t buys/Gundlach/Dalio/JPM $6300/contrarian rebound

Key Questions

What are recent gold ETF flows?

$11B/SPDR outflows signal risk-off post-war drop and DXY rotation. Contrasts with CB buying.

How much gold did China PBOC buy?

PBOC added 5t in March (17th month), most in a year as war slashed prices. Mexico CB/vaults also active.

What are gold price targets from analysts?

JPM $6300, Goldman $5400, Dalio 863t, UBS 800-850t. Contrarian rebound intact.

Why buy gold amid outflows?

Ceasefire aids dips, oil fragility/debt tailwinds. Gundlach/Dalio highlight safe-haven strategy.

Is central bank gold buying ending?

No, persists with PBOC surge despite war. Singapore eyes gold hub rivalry.

How has war affected PM sentiment?

Jolts investors to cash/energy/havens. Moderately bullish gold/silver FY27 amid uncertainty.

What drives PM rebound?

$40T debt forces Fed print, hard assets escape. Huge news for gold/silver holders.

Are they hiding a collapse via PM sales?

Rickards warns sales mask unseen collapse. Global uncertainty favors PMs long-term.

$11B/SPDR outflows risk-off post-war drop/DXY liq, vs PBOC 5t Mar (17th month)/Mexico CB/vaults/Putin ban/JPM $6300/Goldman $5400/Dalio 863t/UBS 800-850t. Ceasefire aids dips intact, oil fragility/debt tailwinds.

Sources (9)
Updated Apr 8, 2026
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