Created by Sarah Jenkins
Tracks Fed interest rate decisions and FOMC statements.
Explore the latest content tracked by FOMC Rate Tracker
Jamie Dimon is sounding the alarm on inflation not fully under control and interest rates/Fed pressures, amid policy shifts that could trigger unthinkable stock shocks and recession risks – watch for tighter Fed stance.
Key angles shaping zero-cut pricing and hike risks under new Fed Chair Warsh:
Key Fed views on holding rates amid war-driven inflation:
Key sequence in Fed leadership shift:
Bond market trend signals tightening bias: Vigilantes urge Fed to drop April FOMC easing stance.
The Federal Reserve Board released results from two surveys of senior bank officers on their views of discount window operations—key data for gauging liquidity stigma and readiness.
Labor market trend: Moderating yet resilient job adds in March-April data.
Key distinctions to decode Fed's 2% inflation target:
The US economy withstands shocks but loses momentum, with Mapfre Economics lowering growth forecasts to 2% (2026) and 1.9% (2027) due to more persistent inflation. Key watch for Fed policy.
Hawkish shift ahead: WisdomTree predicts the Federal Reserve is heading toward rate hikes rather than cuts, marking a significant change in monetary policy expectations.
Hot inflation trend intensifies pressure on Fed rate cut hopes:
Fed raises short-term borrowing rate by 0.25% on Wednesday, marking its second consecutive decision to soften the pace of rate increases. A key shift in the tightening cycle that markets are watching closely.
Key post-cut scenarios from the Fed's December 2025 move:
Despite hot inflation, outlier dovish forecasts persist:
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