Tariff Refunds Deliver One-Time Q3 Growth Lift
- Refunds add ~0.2 pp to projected 4% Q3 GDP growth, part of sharp rebound from H1 contraction
- $166B one-time payout follows Supreme Court ruling on...

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The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model nowcasts 4.6% real GDP growth for 2026:Q3, based purely on incoming data without subjective adjustments. This running...
Kevin Warsh faces Trump's mixed signals on rates while tackling persistent inflation.
The House returns today with a top priority of passing a government funding bill to avoid a shutdown before the Nov. 3 midterms, where its paper-thin...
New single-family home sales hit a 607k annual rate in July, down 10.5% from June and 6.3% year-over-year, while inventory climbed to a 9.6-month...
Trump is escalating regulatory pressure on broadcast media by threatening to report NBC's Kristen Welker to the FCC over her description of his...
Investor outflows from US equity funds amid market volatility sit uneasily beside the Atlanta Fed's raised Q3 GDP forecast of 4.6%, up from 4.0% on stronger consumer spending.
The Census Bureau releases monthly new-home-sales data at 10:00 am ET on these 2026 dates: August 25, September 24, October 27, November 25 and...
Escalating U.S.-Iran strikes around the Strait of Hormuz threaten energy flows, with Iran preparing sea mines before U.S. action on launchers and...
U.S. News is replacing its Graduate Indebtedness factor with a new Earnings by Major metric that only evaluates federal financial aid...
Angry political rhetoric in America has surged 50% since 2013, with voters also becoming more irate.
Milo Yiannopoulos's arrest at a New Orleans airport and deportation to the UK within 24 hours highlight ICE's growing use of airport detentions and...
Hawkish guidance from Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole, raising September hike odds, won't reverse gold's rally. The move aims to cap long-term yields and...
Economic pain and Trump's distractions are reshaping the 2026 Senate battle into a real test of Republican power.
The article argues that U.S. unilateral strikes on Venezuela and Iran in 2026 qualify as aggression under the UN Charter and Rome Statute—the same...
The Trump administration is laying legal groundwork to block potential Democratic congressional investigations by dramatically broadening executive...
Treasury buybacks announced Aug. 19 cut yields briefly, but they retraced within days as net interest outlays topped $1 trillion amid weak fiscal restraint and the shortest debt maturity among major economies.
A federal judge has again rejected President Trump’s bid to shift his hush-money case to federal court, where the 34-felony conviction could be...
Trump once promised Americans a quick “little excursion” against Iran lasting weeks. Six months later, he insists he’s “not in a hurry” as the...
If Democrats regain House control in 2026, they would gain subpoena power for wide-ranging investigations into Trump administration actions.
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