US-Iran-Israel escalation: Hormuz truce collapses, CENTCOM strikes Iran, Israel rejects deal, maritime attacks continue; Khamenei funeral underway, Iran vows revenge; Hamas dissolves Gaza government
Key Questions
What caused the latest US strikes on Iranian sites?
CENTCOM conducted strikes on Iranian missile and drone storage facilities and coastal radar sites after Iran attacked a cargo vessel. Trump accused Iran of violating a ceasefire, and the strikes targeted locations including Sirik and Qeshm.
What is Iran's current position on the Strait of Hormuz?
Iran has formalized control over the strait and continues to insist on imposing toll fees, reserving special treatment for friendly nations. This persists despite pushback from Oman and the signing of a Hormuz Security Pact by the UK, France, and Oman.
What happened at Ayatollah Khamenei's funeral?
The funeral for Khamenei is underway with millions attending, delayed 125 days using cold storage. Mojtaba Khamenei made a public appearance, signaling potential succession, while Hezbollah, Hamas, and Pakistani leaders were present.
How has Israel responded to the regional developments?
Netanyahu rejected a southern Lebanon withdrawal deal and Israel continues strikes in Lebanon and Gaza, now controlling 65% of Gaza. A Framework Agreement with Lebanon was signed but Israel has intensified operations in areas like Bint Jbeil.
What threats has Trump made regarding Iran?
During Khamenei's funeral, Trump issued a 'one shot' threat indicating willingness to target Iranian leadership. He also claimed the US had 'knocked the hell out of Iran' while revealing secret escort operations for 22 ships.
What is the status of Hamas governance in Gaza?
Hamas announced the dissolution of its emergency governing structures in Gaza, paving the way for a technocratic committee. This political shift does not affect its military wing but may influence postwar arrangements.
Which countries are deploying forces near Hormuz?
The UK and France have sent mine countermeasures vessels to Oman waters, while Iran warned against extra-regional presence. A new Hormuz committee involving Iran and Oman was also formed amid ongoing talks.
What new military capabilities has Iran unveiled?
Iran introduced the Khorramshahr-4 missile and continues Hormuz force deployments. IRGC Navy attacks on vessels off Oman have persisted, with a new chief emerging amid internal power struggles.
CENTCOM struck Iranian missile/drone storage and coastal radar sites after Iran attacked cargo vessel. Trump accuses Iran of ceasefire violation. Iran formalizes Hormuz control. IRGC Navy attacked another vessel off Oman June 25. Netanyahu rejects southern Lebanon withdrawal. Israel continues strikes in Lebanon and Gaza (now controls 65% of Gaza). Israel-Lebanon Framework Agreement signed. Khamenei funeral underway with millions attending; Iran army chief publicly vows revenge. Iran claims strikes on US bases in Bahrain and Kuwait (unconfirmed). Iran targets Kurdish militias in Iraq. ISW confirms Iran continues Hormuz force. Iran unveils Khorramshahr-4 missile. Herzliya Conference consensus: Israel faces most challenging strategic environment. New analysis warns Islamabad Memorandum may concede freedom of navigation in Hormuz. Israel intensifies demolition in Bint Jbeil. Iran continues to insist on imposing illegal toll scheme in Strait of Hormuz despite Omani pushback and MoU language, indicating deal erosion. Mojtaba Khamenei made first public appearance at funeral, signaling succession dynamics. Hezbollah and Hamas attended funeral, demonstrating proxy alignment. Pakistan leaders paid respects. UK and France deploy mine countermeasures to Oman waters, with Iran warning against extra-regional presence. Iran's ambassador publicly insists on new Hormuz fees, reserving special treatment for 'friendly' nations. New IRGC Navy chief Azmaei emerges without formal decree, signaling internal power struggle; hardliner backlash against Ghalibaf and Pezeshkian over Omani corridor. Pakistan to host next round of US-Iran talks on July 11. Iran's Intel Ministry publicly vows to avenge Khamenei's blood. Trump's July 4 speech claims US 'knocked the hell out of Iran' but contrasts with ongoing IRGC attacks. US strikes hit Sirik and Qeshm in southern Iran, widening the conflict. UK, France, and Oman signed a Hormuz Security Pact to counter Iran's toll scheme. Khamenei's funeral delayed 125 days using cold storage, revealing regime secrecy. Mojtaba Khamenei kept away from public eye, raising succession questions. Trump reveals secret US operation escorting 22 ships and repeated radar strikes; US authorizes Iranian oil sales; Iran-Oman Hormuz committee formed. This signals a complex phase of de-escalation talks alongside covert pressure. Israel continues strikes in Lebanon despite Framework Agreement. Netanyahu denies rift with Trump. Hamas announced dissolution of its emergency governing structures in Gaza, a political shift that may affect postwar governance but does not disarm its military wing. Trump issued a chilling 'one shot' threat during Khamenei's funeral, signaling willingness to decapitate Iranian leadership. A new strategic critique warns the US is repeating Gulf War mistakes by mismanaging coalition dynamics and treating vulnerability as obligation.