Global Pulse Brief

Elevated Risk of Next Major Pandemic

Elevated Risk of Next Major Pandemic

Key Questions

What is the estimated chance of a COVID-scale pandemic in the next decade?

There is over a 20% chance of a COVID-scale event in the next decade. This elevates the need for better preparedness.

What health crises is the WHO flagging in the Middle East?

WHO highlights ongoing Mideast health crises amid conflicts. These compound global pandemic risks.

What vulnerabilities were revealed by the Peru study?

Peru's post-record COVID mortality study shows LMIC vulnerabilities. It underscores gaps in low- and middle-income country preparedness.

20% chance COVID-scale event next decade; WHO flags Mideast health crises; Peru study highlights LMIC vulnerabilities post-record COVID mortality.

Sources (2)
Updated Apr 13, 2026
What is the estimated chance of a COVID-scale pandemic in the next decade? - Global Pulse Brief | NBot | nbot.ai