Iran Regional Pulse

Amid four weeks of escalation, former Iranian negotiator Hossein Mousavian sees a diplomacy door ajar—but trust is shattered.

• Trump's mixed...

Nuclear fears drive US-Israel attacks amid conflict, despite no active weapons program per experts.

• US intel: Iran not building nukes; Khamenei...

• Saudi 24-hour ultimatum to Iran follows attacks on Gulf oil/gas facilities, escalating tensions on Eid.
• Publicly pushing diplomacy (post-2023...

The US-Israel-Iran war, ongoing since February 28, 2026 airstrikes on nuclear sites, drags on despite claims of Iran's degradation:

• Leadership...

Weaponizing doubt: Trump's claim of talks with a "top" unnamed Iranian figure—excluding the supreme leader—plants mistrust in Tehran's paranoid elite,...

• Israel's split strategy: Strikes senior figures for immediate regime collapse while hitting infrastructure to weaken long-term.
• US tensions:...

Key revelations from the failed February 2026 Muscat talks:

• US agreed to nuclear-only agenda and accepting some Iranian enrichment, via Oman/Qatar...

Escalation timeline as Israel targets Iran's proxy amid IRGC-led Hezbollah overhaul:

• IRGC decentralizes Hezbollah post-2024 Israel war, enabling...

• Trump's ultimatum: US will obliterate Iran's power plants if Hormuz not fully reopened in 48 hours.
• Iran's red line: Vows to target US/regional...

A wave of high-profile killings signals deepening disruption to Iran's leadership:

• Israel assassinated Ali Larijani, Secretary of the Supreme...

• Iran's proxy axis—Hezbollah, Iraq's Hashd militias, Houthis—projects power, deters foes, and responds variably to U.S./Israeli strikes.
• Discussion...

Post-US-Israel strike on Iran, hybrid threats materialize with attacks since 9 March:

• Liège synagogue IED (Belgium), Rotterdam synagogue, Amsterdam...

US ramps up countermeasures against Iran's Gulf mining threats and Hormuz closure:

• Sanctions relief on ~140M barrels stranded Iranian oil (10-14...

Key developments in US-Iran diplomacy:

• Trump admin starts internal talks for ending three-week war, with Kushner/Witkoff shaping framework.
• US...

Hardline stance from Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei:

• Rejected intermediary proposals for ceasefire with US, calling it "not the right time for peace".
  -...

Tehran's asymmetric escalations trend beyond proxies, directly deterring US forces:

• IRGC warns US troops under full surveillance, claiming daily...

Iran categorically denies U.S. direct talks, labeling Trump's claims "fake news" to manipulate oil markets and dodge war quagmire.

• No negotiations:...

Emerging trend: Houthis as Tehran's key remaining card for Red Sea disruptions beyond Hormuz.

• Houthi warnings of Bab al-Mandab attacks amid...

Strengths of Iran's axis:

• Asymmetric warfare via proxies overwhelms US defenses without direct war.
• Network surrounds rivals: Hezbollah's 150,000...

Iran's societal resolve shines amid US escalation:

• President Masoud Pezeshkian hails citizens creating an extraordinary scene of defense, with...