Global Alerts & Markets

Escalating brinkmanship: Trump orders U.S. Navy to blockade Strait of Hormuz after failed Iran peace talks, targeting vessels paying Iran's tolls amid...

Strait of Hormuz Tensions

• 🔥 US Warships Cross Strait: Several US Navy ships crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Saturday for the first time since...

Strait of Hormuz tensions spike post-failed talks:

• Tankers moving out: VLCCs Serifos, Cospearl Lake, and He Rong Hai exit trial anchorage...

Bond market vulnerability exposed: US sold $620B Treasuries this week, yet yields remain too low for inflation wave and Fed tolerance.

• 10-yr yield:...

Iran ceasefire holds tenuously, but Strait of Hormuz shipping lags: only 15 vessels/day vs pre-war 138, with 346 energy tankers trapped and IRGC...

Gold rises for the eighth time in nine sessions, driven by a weak dollar, geopolitics, ceasefire uncertainty, inflation risks, and possible Fed moves. Gains reflect market caution and anxiety, not growth optimism.

Daily volumes top $400M on Polymarket, the prediction market turned casino.

• Smart money bets yes on Iranian regime falling by April 30
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Hormuz timeline boosts global trade confidence:

• Ceasefire key: Reopening strait vital for world economy, after few ships crossed post-deal
• Talks...

Key timeline in Strait of Hormuz tensions:

• Trump asserts Iran's 28 mine-laying boats sunk; US starts clearing strait to aid global oil flow.
• First...

Nvidia backs SiFive's $400M raise at $3.65B valuation, shifting open RISC-V from embedded apps to AI data centers.

Key angles:

• Open challenge to...

• Aggressive Iranian warning: US destroyer threatened with attack within 30 minutes if entering Strait.
• US retreat confirmed: Vessel from UAE port...

Oil surges on Saudi supply shocks despite U.S.-Iran ceasefire:

• Brent $96/bbl, WTI $98 as attacks cut Saudi capacity by 600k bpd (~10% exports)
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Treasury yields turned choppy post-CPI, with core prices rising just 0.2% in March (below 0.3% expected), signaling steady Fed path. Headline jumped...

US Inflation Surge

• 🔥 Gasoline Prices Spike: Gasoline rose +21.1% m/m in March, the highest increase on record and accounting for nearly...

Global economy now far more resilient to oil shocks, as oil needed for equivalent GDP has fallen to one-third of 1970s levels. Past OPEC crises caused severe stagflation, but today's lower dependency cushions similar energy disruptions.

Headline CPI hits 3.5% y/y—near 2-year high—driven by gasoline +21.1% m/m, record jump accounting for ~3/4 of monthly advance.

• Core remains tame:...

Emerging risks in $1.8T private credit market prompt Fed inquiries to banks on exposures amid surging redemptions and bad loans.

• Treasury joins:...

Persistent threat exposed: Iran holds thousands of ballistic missiles, with launchers recoverable from underground sites despite strikes.

• Over half...

Latest in rising violence against OpenAI: A 20-year-old suspect was arrested Friday after hurling a Molotov cocktail at CEO Sam Altman's San Francisco...

Dual regulatory signals on Anthropic's Mythos AI for Wall Street:

• Encouragement to test: Trump admin urges banks like JPMorgan to use Mythos...