US-Iran Conflict Tracker

China's TEE-01B satellite, acquired by Iran's IRGC in 2024, enabled precise targeting of US bases in Iraq, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, and Gulf...

• Post-strike resilience: Six weeks of U.S./Israeli bombardment degraded nuclear facilities and military parts, but 50-year offensive buildup...

IDF hails April 8 strike as devastating blow to Hezbollah's command:

• 250 terrorists eliminated in ~1 minute across Beirut, Beqaa, south Lebanon via...

• Iran's counter-blockade warning escalates pressure on US blockade, with markets pricing 83.5% YES for lift by May 31.
• US Navy surges assets: USS...

Key de-escalation signals from Yemen proxy:

• Verbal threats only: No military action despite support rhetoric, unlike Gaza War.
• Local calculus...

• Iraq reroutes exports via Syria’s Baniyas terminal to dodge Strait disruptions, signaling long-term crisis adaptation
• Drops odds of Hormuz...

History repeats: Iranian mines nearly sank USS Samuel B. Roberts in 1988 during Operation Earnest Will, exposing zero U.S. mine-warfare assets in...

Expert consensus positions Hezbollah as Iran's most valuable regional asset – frontline vs. Israel with unique missile arsenal, unlike Iraq/Yemen...

Key rollout phases reveal early enforcement gaps amid Iran's port restrictions:

• Pre-activation: Trump announces Sunday after Pakistan talks fail,...

Trend of escalating militia strikes reveals Iraq as active war front:

• Targets expand beyond US sites to Iraqi intelligence HQ, oil/gas infra,...

Key evolution from truce to coercion risks:

• April 7/8: Two-week ceasefire halts 40-day war; Strait traffic suppressed.
• April 11: Islamabad talks...

Multi-layered US assets secure Strait of Hormuz amid blockade:

• 100+ aircraft deployed for sea surveillance and asset protection, backed by 10,000...

Iran's long-built proxy system faces unprecedented strain as regional dynamics shift, with wars now fought on Iranian soil rather than proxy...

Trump's rhetoric signals deterrence: Claims Iran's navy "completely obliterated" with 158 vessels destroyed, but warns remaining IRGC fast-attack...

Multi-front risk emerges as US blockades Hormuz:

• Iran equates Bab al-Mandeb to Hormuz, threatening Houthi disruption of 12% global oil flows.
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Critical strain on Israeli defenses revealed by Trump admin source: ballistic missile interceptors dwindled to double digits eve of US-Israel-Iran...

• Troop buildup: 2,500 Marines on warships to Gulf, 2,000 from 82nd Airborne en route.
• Diplomatic off-ramp: US-Iran documents show convergence on...

• Iran's retaliation vow: Tehran threatens strikes on Persian Gulf and Oman ports in response to US blockade of its facilities post-failed talks,...

• Milestone casualty: Navy confirms first MQ-4C spy drone loss, a $240M high-altitude maritime ISR platform, crashed April 9 during US-Iran war.
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Key market signals of US naval restrictions ahead:

• Two Iran-linked oil tankers exited Persian Gulf pre-blockade.
• Military action odds by Apr 15...