Auto & Heavy Industry Outlook

OEM verticalization/chip self-reliance & retrenchment/geo-threats/supply resilience incl. REE/circularity

OEM verticalization/chip self-reliance & retrenchment/geo-threats/supply resilience incl. REE/circularity

Key Questions

What is the significance of the Tata-ASML India fab deal?

Tata and ASML signed an accord to establish an $11 billion semiconductor facility in Gujarat, boosting India's chip manufacturing capabilities. This supports broader self-reliance efforts amid global supply chain shifts.

How are US export controls affecting chip supply chains?

New US bills risk disrupting advanced chip flows, prompting China to warn of supply chain instability for EVs and ADAS. TSMC and Samsung are accelerating geographic diversification in response.

What impact does China's halt on rare earth exports have?

The restriction on 17 rare earth elements threatens EV and electronics production outside China, which refines 80% of global cobalt. This accelerates Western efforts to secure alternative sources like the Lobito corridor.

How are companies addressing ABF substrate bottlenecks?

ABF shortages are impacting advanced packaging for AI and automotive chips, with TSMC's 2nm process potentially delayed. Industry players are investing in capacity expansion through 2027.

What is the China-Canada rare earth minerals agreement?

A secret deal between China and Canada has raised concerns in Washington over critical mineral access. It highlights ongoing geopolitical maneuvering in REE supply chains for EVs and batteries.

How is ABB supporting automotive supply chain resilience?

ABB quickly restored operations at Novelis' flood-damaged aluminum facilities, securing material flows for global OEMs. This demonstrates emergency measures for circularity and raw material security.

What role do critical minerals play in the next decade?

China and the US lead $183 billion in global capex for minerals like lithium and rare earths, essential for EVs and chips. Supply resilience, including recycling and new mining, will determine industry competitiveness.

How is Europe advancing wide-bandgap semiconductor pilots?

The WBG Pilot Line under the European Chips Act aims to build regional capacity for power electronics in EVs. This counters reliance on Asian supply chains amid export controls and shortages projected for 2026.

Tata-ASML India $11B fab; TSMC/Samsung shifts. New: China halts 17 rare earths; US export controls risk EV/ADAS chip supply; ABF bottlenecks; Europe WBG pilots. Cobalt 80% China refining vs Lobito; STMicroelectronics L9963F BMS IC. New: ABB emergency ops secure Novelis aluminum supply chain; Indonesia semis node; $183B China/US minerals capex; China-Canada REE deal.

Sources (76)
Updated May 23, 2026