Auto & Heavy Industry Outlook

Next-gen batteries: SSB/Na-ion/LFP/BESS ramps China vs US supply risks

Next-gen batteries: SSB/Na-ion/LFP/BESS ramps China vs US supply risks

Key Questions

What is China's state-backed solid-state battery initiative?

CASIP unites CATL, BYD, and Nio with 6B yuan funding; GAC and Dongfeng target 2026 production, though costs remain high at $220-300/kWh versus $54-69 for LFP.

How are companies addressing EV battery longevity concerns?

New data shows EV batteries retain 95% capacity after five years with only 0.3% replacement rate for newer models, countering skepticism and supporting long-term adoption.

What advances are occurring in second-life EV battery applications?

Second-life EV batteries are gaining traction for grid storage via projects from B2U, Redwood, and Moment Energy, though competition from cheaper new batteries persists.

How is CATL expanding in the energy storage market?

CATL launched a B2B direct sales platform for energy storage cells and signed a $5B, 25 GWh BESS deal with NatPower in Europe, signaling ESS market maturation.

What dry-electrode battery technology breakthroughs have emerged?

Korean researchers at KIMS/KERI developed PTFE-free dry electrodes using shape-controlled graphite granules and eco-friendly binders, improving fast-charging and addressing PFAS issues.

How are automakers pivoting battery chemistries amid supply risks?

GM is shifting to sodium-ion and LMR while Ford uses CATL LFP in the US; Slate Auto adopted Chinese LFP batteries after tax-credit changes for cost reasons.

What regulatory or supply chain changes affect battery materials?

Traceability via battery passports begins February 2027; China enforces 60-day payment rules, Hungary launched pollution oversight, and Mozambique graphite refining is advancing.

What is the status of sodium-ion and LMFP battery development?

CATL unveiled sodium-ion tech while BroadBit's LMFP battery achieved 2000 cycles at 85% retention; these offer lower costs but face energy density limitations versus LFP or SSB.

China's state-backed solid-state battery push (CASIP) unites CATL, BYD, Nio with 6B yuan funding; GAC and Dongfeng target 2026 production; cost gap remains ($220-300/kWh vs $54-69 LFP). Stellantis road-tests Factorial SSB. GM pivots to sodium-ion and LMR, V2G plans. CATL unveils fast charging and sodium-ion; Zeng cools SSB hype. QuantumScape-Honda SSB agreement. Ford US LFP via CATL. Tesla $25B capex to battery supply; Tesla-NatPower $5B, 25 GWh BESS deal in Europe. BYD SSB patent. Battery material prices rebounding. Mozambique graphite refining. Traceability with battery passport from Feb 2027. China battery supply chain 60-day payment rule backed by CABIA/CNESA; CATL and FinDreams pledge compliance. Hungary launches pollution watchdog for EV battery makers; Semcorp suspension and Samsung SDI fines. Thailand secures $4.1B in EV chain investments. European V2G gains traction. REE supply chain diversification challenges. Slate's $25K EV uses Chinese LFP batteries. Korean researchers demonstrate PTFE-free dry battery electrodes. China's state media frames oversized EV batteries as policy issue. ARENA funds Sicona's silicon-carbon anode project. UC San Diego demonstrates direct upcycling of spent LFP cathodes into LMFP. The Battery Chronicle Briefing #3 confirms structural shift: energy storage absorbing EV overcapacity (Ford Kentucky plant repurposing for ESS, Panasonic data-center pivot). Lithium price surge. Panasonic emerges as key player in battery-to-data-center pivot. CATL launches B2B direct sales platform for energy storage cells. BroadBit's LMFP battery achieves 2000 cycles at 85% retention. New real-world data shows EV batteries retain 95% capacity after 5 years, replacement rate only 0.3% for newer models. New dry-electrode breakthrough from KIMS/KERI using shape-controlled graphite granules and eco-friendly CMC-SBR binders instead of PTFE. Second-life EV batteries for grid storage gaining traction with concrete examples (B2U, Redwood, Moment Energy), now also for data centers. Slate pivots to Chinese LFP batteries post-tax-credit repeal. Nio to start construction of Shanghai battery facility in H2, focusing on solid-state and next-gen tech.

Sources (32)
Updated Jul 7, 2026