India Equity Outlook

Oil crisis eases on US-Iran peace deal, crude near 4-month low

Oil crisis eases on US-Iran peace deal, crude near 4-month low

Key Questions

What caused Brent crude to ease to $76-77/bbl?

Progress on the Strait of Hormuz and a US-Iran peace framework including a 60-day ceasefire drove Brent to near a 4-month low of $76-77/bbl.

What is the outlook for oil prices according to analysts?

Mark Matthews targets $60 oil amid the easing tensions, with aluminium prices also falling 10% from their peak as focus shifts to central banks and inflation.

What risks remain despite the peace deal progress?

Final terms of the deal are still pending, and there is a risk of renewed tensions that could impact oil prices and market sentiment.

Brent eased to $71/bbl (4-month low), driven by progress on Strait of Hormuz and US-Iran peace framework (60-day ceasefire). Mark Matthews targets $60 oil. Aluminium prices fell 10% from peak. Peace deal and easing crude shift focus to central banks and inflation outlook. Final terms of deal pending; risk of renewed tensions remains.

Sources (1)
Updated Jul 3, 2026