India Equity Outlook

Nifty rally to 24k+ on peace deal, falling crude, trade deal optimism

Nifty rally to 24k+ on peace deal, falling crude, trade deal optimism

Key Questions

What factors drove Nifty's rally above 24,000 on June 25?

The rally was driven by an IT sector rebound of 4.39% from its 5-year low, crude oil falling to $71 per barrel, and optimism around a potential US-India trade deal. Auto, FMCG, and realty sectors also led gains while broader indices underperformed.

What was Nifty's closing value on June 25?

Nifty reclaimed 24,000 and closed at 24,101 on June 25 after snapping a two-day fall. Sensex rose 444 points on the same day.

What are the key support and resistance levels for Nifty?

Support held at 23,800-23,900 while resistance stands at 24,200-24,500. Analysts target 24,500-24,600 if resistance is broken, with some seeing potential up to 24,800 in July.

How are FIIs and DIIs influencing the market currently?

FIIs remain net sellers overall but their selling has slowed, while DIIs continue to provide buffer support. This dynamic supports a buy-the-dip approach toward 23,600-23,800.

What is the overall analyst sentiment on Nifty's outlook?

Analysts including Mark Matthews and Prateek Nigudkar remain bullish, citing cooling crude and trade deal optimism. The status is developing with cautious sentiment due to underperforming broader indices.

Nifty reclaimed 24,000 and closed at 24,101 on June 25, driven by IT rebound (+4.39% from 5-year low), falling crude ($71/bbl), and US-India trade deal optimism. Auto, FMCG, realty led; IT rebounded after earlier drag. FIIs remain net sellers overall, DIIs continue to buffer. Support at 23,800-23,900 held, resistance at 24,200-24,500. Analysts target 24,500-24,600 if resistance breaks. Broader indices underperformed, suggesting cautious sentiment. Mark Matthews and Prateek Nigudkar remain bullish.

Sources (4)
Updated Jul 3, 2026