VoteHub Forecast Shows Democrats Surging in Senate Races
Key Questions
What does the VoteHub forecast show for Senate races?
VoteHub shows a D+4+ tilt favoring Democrats in key races. This includes surges in OH, TX, ME, GA, NC, and MI.
Who won the Ohio Democratic Senate primary?
Former Senator Sherrod Brown won the Ohio US Senate Democratic primary post-May 5. He leads Husted in forecasts.
What is the status of the Texas Senate race?
TX Democrat Talarico holds an economic lead. Despite Trump endorsing Abbott for reelection, the race favors Dems.
How is the Maine Senate race shaping up?
ME features a tossup between Platner (D) and Collins (R). Republicans are spending $30M on ads there.
What ad spending is occurring in key Senate states?
Republicans are blitzing ads: $52M in OH, $37M in NC, $30M in ME. This outpaces 2022 levels amid House fractures and Trump lows.
D+4+ tilt: OH Brown-Husted D post-May5; TX Talarico econ lead; ME Platner vs Collins tossup; GA/NC/MI flux; Rs ad blitz $52M OH/$37M NC/$30M ME amid House fractures/Trump lows.
Sources (6)
Updated May 6, 2026