Conflict Dynamics Tracker

Operation True Promise — Iranian multi-vector salvoes target Gulf energy/ally/US/Israeli/Saudi/UAE/Jordan/Bahrain/Iraq/Houthi/Syria sites

Operation True Promise — Iranian multi-vector salvoes target Gulf energy/ally/US/Israeli/Saudi/UAE/Jordan/Bahrain/Iraq/Houthi/Syria sites

Key Questions

What is Operation True Promise?

Operation True Promise refers to the IRGC's multi-vector salvoes involving over 95 chain attacks targeting Gulf energy sites, allies, US, Israeli, Saudi, UAE, Jordan, Bahrain, Iraq, Houthi, and Syria locations. The attacks have been paused under a ceasefire. Half of Iran's arsenal remains intact.

Which US base was attacked in Kuwait and what were the casualties?

Iranian drone strikes hit Ali Al Salem Air Base in Kuwait, injuring 15 US service members. Reports confirm damage to the base from the attack. This was part of wave 95 of the operation.

What damage occurred to Saudi energy infrastructure?

Saudi sites including Jubail and Ras Tanura were shut down following strikes, with satellite battle damage assessment confirming impacts. Kuwait also saw 60 strikes on KPC and desalination plants. Bahrain and UAE facilities like Habshan were targeted.

How effective were GCC defenses against the attacks?

GCC forces used Ukrainian interceptors against Shahed drones, along with THAAD at Al Muwaffaq and Prince Sultan bases, and radomes in Bahrain. Interceptions downed many munitions, but over 5,693 munitions were fired across 14+ bases. Iran achieved an 85% success rate in some areas.

What are the reported losses from the operation?

Losses include over $800 million in damage, 13+ killed in action, more than 365 wounded, and over 13 MQ-9 drones downed. Proxy FPV attacks occurred at Victory Base. The attacks spanned Iraq, Syria, and other sites.

What role did proxies play in the attacks?

Proxies including Houthis and forces in Syria and Iraq participated, with FPV drone attacks at Victory Base. Drones originated from Iraq targeting areas near US bases in Syria. Hezbollah conducted drone onslaughts in Lebanon.

Has the operation fully depleted Iran's capabilities?

No, half of Iran's arsenal remains intact despite the 95+ waves. The IRGC paused attacks under ceasefire terms. Satellite imagery and reports confirm ongoing threats.

What is the current status of Operation True Promise?

The operation is cooling, with attacks paused under a ceasefire on the brink. Israel hit Lebanon amid UAE attacks, but a halt is in place. Enforcement and continuation remain uncertain.

IRGC Waves 95+ chain attacks paused under ceasefire: Iraq/Syria Qasrak/Kuwait Ali Al Salem(15 US injured)/Kuwait60 strikes KPC/desal/Saudi Jubail/Ras Tanura shutdown/UAE Habshan/Bahrain; sat BDA THAAD Al Muwaffaq/Prince Sultan/Bahrain radomes; GCC Ukrainian interceptors vs Shaheds; half arsenal intact; GCC85%/5,693+ munitions/14+ bases/$800m+/13+KIA/365+w/>13 MQ-9; proxy FPV Victory Base.

Sources (31)
Updated Apr 8, 2026