Post-2024 Polling Shifts
Key Questions
What is Donald Trump's current approval rating?
Trump's approval rating has fallen to a record low of -19.6, driven by concerns over the economy, inflation, and rising gas prices now at $4.53 per gallon.
Which voter groups are shifting away from Trump?
Independents, youth, and Black voters show growing remorse, with independents swinging 32 points toward Democrats in recent polling.
How do gerrymandered maps affect 2026 prospects?
Despite a generic ballot edge of +6.3 for Democrats, Republican-favoring maps provide a buffer that could limit Democratic gains in the midterms.
Trump approval -19.6 low (economy/inflation/Iran/gas $4.53 +52% 10wks); indies/youth/Black remorse, indy 32pt Dem swing. House econ critiques add pressure. Gerrymanders buffer GOP vs Dem +6.3 generic; Trump risks despite base.
Sources (2)
Updated May 16, 2026