Internal Conflicts, Fragmented Armed Alliances, and Civilian Spillover

A new report says drone strikes killed 25 people, including children, in Amhara and Tigray; a medical source confirmed 11 deaths in Rama, while attribution and total casualties remain uncertain. Church reports say 60 Orthodox Christians were killed in two Oromia attacks, possibly overlapping with the Shirka account of at least 43 killed and 18 wounded; responsibility remains disputed. IOM reported about 50,000 arrivals in Moyale by October 29, with planning for a response reaching 80,000; Amhara fighting and any armed-group alignment remain fluid.