Ethiopia Policy Brief

Tigray Aftermath and Rising War Fears

Tigray Aftermath and Rising War Fears

Fresh clashes between TPLF and federal forces erupted, breaking the 2022 peace deal, but brief fighting has since ended. The Tigray government confirmed the military offensive in Western Tigray. Hundreds have fled to Sudan, and Ethiopian refugees in Sudanese camps have been killed in cross-border spillover. Systematic sexual violence, forced child recruitment, and ethnic cleansing persist. Obasanjo's estimate of 600,000 deaths and renewed military tensions signal a fragile peace. Abiy Ahmed's official narrative frames Pretoria as a success, countering reports of renewed conflict.

Sources (2)
Updated Aug 4, 2026