Democrats pursue a difficult red-state path to Senate control
Democrats still appear to need at least four Republican-held pickups while defending vulnerable seats, making Texas, Alaska, Ohio, and North Carolina central to the map. New polling gives Roy Cooper a 7–8 point lead over Michael Whatley in North Carolina, while Barack Obama’s Ohio appearances for Sherrod Brown show the importance of that contest; methodological uncertainty and difficult state fundamentals remain substantial.
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Updated Oct 13, 2026