Daily Market Brief

Strait of Hormuz Crisis: Oil Price Tail Risk

Strait of Hormuz Crisis: Oil Price Tail Risk

Geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz continue to push oil prices around $83, with worst-case scenarios of $100+ oil. This poses a key macro risk that could derail the bull market and influence Fed policy. The situation remains fluid with no resolution in sight.

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Updated Aug 13, 2026