Strong revenue growth, ARR beat & +EBITDA; fresh $140-232/$598 PTs amid volatility
Key Questions
What were Nebius Group's key financial results for FY25 and Q4'25?
Nebius reported FY25 revenue of $529.8-530M, a 479% YoY increase, with Q4 revenue at $227.7M, up 547% YoY. The company achieved its first $29M profit and 30% cost of revenue efficiency. Despite an EPS miss, it exceeded ARR targets with positive EBITDA.
What is Nebius's guidance for FY26 and ARR in 2026?
Nebius guided FY26 revenue at $3-3.4B. It projects 2026 ARR between $7-9B. Q1'26 is already sold out, reflecting robust demand.
How has Nebius stock (NBIS) performed recently?
NBIS stock rose 4-6% after hours, marking its hottest streak in a month, with recent gains of +3.4% and +10.39%. March performance was +13.8%, and YTD +40%, outperforming CoreWeave's +22%.
What are the analyst ratings and price targets for NBIS?
Analysts rate NBIS as Moderate Buy with an average target of $157, including TipRanks $164, Northland $215-232, DA Davidson $200, BofA $150, GS $160, Citi $169, and SimpleWS $606 Strong Buy at $167. Recent updates include Northland's cut but still bullish PTs.
What unusual options activity has been seen in NBIS?
On April 2nd, 148K contracts were traded with 683K open interest, 60% calls, and a V/OI ratio of 59.8 at the $117 strike pre-Q1. Unusual puts and calls indicate market bets amid volatility.
What is the institutional ownership of Nebius Group (NBIS)?
Institutional ownership stands at approximately 24.61%. Recent investments include Genesis Financial Group's $1.69M stake and Essex LLC holding it as its 10th largest position.
What did Jim Cramer say about Nebius Group?
Jim Cramer called Nebius (NBIS) a 'company of the future.' This positive commentary aligns with rising retail sentiment and DCF bull cases.
What factors drove Nebius's strong Q4 results?
Nebius exceeded targets with sold-out Q3/Q4'25 and Q1'26 capacity, robust demand, 50% longer contracts, and stable GPU prices. These contributed to revenue beats despite an EPS miss.
Q4'25 transcript confirms exceeded targets, sold-out Q3/Q4'25 + Q1'26, robust demand, 50% longer contracts, stable GPU prices (EPS miss); FY25 $529.8-530M (+479% YoY), Q4 $227.7M (+547%), first $29M profit, 30% CoR eff; FY26 $3-3.4B guide, 2026 ARR $7–$9B; Q1'26 sold out; Moderate Buy $157 (TipRanks $164/Northland $215-232 cut/DA $200/BofA $150/GS $160/Citi $169, $167 Strong Buy/SimpleWS $606); options 148K 60% calls + recent unusual puts V/OI 59.8 $117 strike pre-Q1; inst own ~24.61%; stock +4-6% AH hottest streak in month/+3.4%/+10.39% recent, Mar +13.8%, YTD +40% vs CoreWeave +22%; Cramer 'company of future'/DCF bull/recent rehash, retail sentiment climbing, no new metrics.