US-Iran Diplomatic StalemateUS-Iran ceasefire appears stalled; Iran says no talks in two weeks. Market odds for normalization drop to 1.5%. Oman and Qatar mediating but no progress.Sources (2)JULY 30, 2026: Middle East Tensions Surge as Iran Targets U.S. Forces; Hamas Considers Disarmament; Givati Rebellion Shakes IDFsubstack.comU.S.-Iran conflict enters new phase as Saudi Arabia helps hit proxies and diplomacy stallspbs.orgUpdated Jul 31, 2026