Mojtaba confirmed as Supreme Leader, rejects de-escalation & IRGC-Ghalibaf consolidation
Key Questions
Who has been confirmed as Iran's new Supreme Leader?
Mojtaba has been elected as Supreme Leader. He rejects de-escalation efforts, including Trump's ceasefire proposals and threats, amid the ongoing war now on Day 35+.
What are the key developments in the current Iran war?
The war involves Tel Aviv strikes, a Hormuz blockade pushing oil prices over $100, and threats to power plants and bridges. Israeli strikes have targeted 130+ Basij and IRGC sites, killing around 5,000 security personnel.
How has repression intensified in Iran recently?
The judiciary is rushing executions, with 7 since February 28, over 160 year-to-date per Hengaw, and 11 imminent. More than 10 killings occurred in the last 8+ days, including Fahim on April 16, Hatami, Biglari, Vahedparast, and Salavati.
What IRGC losses have been reported?
IRGC casualties include high-profile figures like Khatib, Tangsiri, Soleimani, and 300 officers, as well as Zolghadr from the SNSC. War strikes have significantly damaged Iran's repression architecture.
What role is Ghalibaf playing amid the conflict?
Ghalibaf is engaging in talks with Trump. This occurs alongside IRGC consolidation efforts.
Who are some prominent detainees in the crackdown?
Rights activists Nasrin Sotoudeh and Narges Mohammadi have been detained. Authorities are also withholding bodies of executed teen protesters and rushing cases against anti-regime demonstrators.
What executions related to protests have occurred?
Iran has executed individuals accused of attacking military sites during January protests, including a 19-year-old college student and two men attempting to storm a facility. Fears exist of 'death judges' ordering dozens more hangings.
Is there evidence of an uprising in Iran?
No uprising is reported despite surging repression and war impacts. Iranian leaders are projecting control by appearing in Tehran streets during wartime.
Mojtaba elected SL rejecting Trump ceasefire/threats amid war Day35+ (Tel Aviv strikes, Hormuz blockade $100+ oil, power plant/bridge threats); repression surges: judiciary rushes execs (7 since Feb28, Hengaw 160+ YTD, 11 imminent), 10+ kills last 8+ days (Fahim Apr16, Hatami/Biglari/Vahedparast/Salavati); war strikes hit 130+ Basij/IRGC sites (~5k security killed); IRGC kills: Khatib/Tangsiri/Soleimani & 300 officers, Zolghadr SNSC; Ghalibaf Trump talks; Sotoudeh/Mohammadi detained; no uprising.