U.S. Labor Metrics

Source: BLS JOLTS

Metric: Job openings, layoffs, hiring

Timeframe: January

Key Data Point(s): Openings rose to 6.9 million or 6.95 million; layoffs...

• Source: ADP and BLS
• Metric: Five-year rolling correlations on private payrolls
• Timeframe: Five-year rolling
• Key Data Point(s): Consistently...

ADP February Payroll Headlines

• 🔥 Private Payrolls +63k: ADP reported U.S. private sector added 63,000 jobs in February, above expectations of...

ADP National Employment Report key metrics (Feb 2026):

• Headline: +63,000 private jobs added, beating 50K est.; Jan revised to +11K from +22K
  -...

• Source: Indeed Hiring Lab
• Metric: Healthcare/social assistance employment growth
• Timeframe: 2025 (Y/Y)
• Key Data: +690K jobs added; 15%...

Source: ADP National Employment Report (NER) Pulse

Metric: Four-week moving average of U.S. private payroll gains

Timeframe: Week ending Feb 7, 2026...

January BLS Payrolls

• 🔥 Nonfarm Payroll +130k: BLS reported U.S. employers added 130,000 nonfarm payroll jobs in January, surpassing...

• Jan 2026 payrolls: +130,000 jobs, exceeding 55-75k forecasts
• 2025 total revised: +181,000 from initial +584,000; avg ~15k/month
• Unemployment...

Headline beats mask splits:

• Payrolls: +130K jobs vs. 65K expected; double December's gain
• Unemployment: Down to 4.3% from 4.4%
• 2025 revisions:...

• 2025 Payroll Growth: Revised to 181,000 jobs from original 584,000; benchmark revision cuts 1.3 million jobs, largest since 2009.
• Hiring Rate:...

Key ADP Metrics (from >26M workers):

• Hiring: +22,000 jobs nationwide; 2025 total 398K vs 2024 771K (decelerating)
• Sectors: Education/health +74K;...

New SMB Employment Index

• 🔥 NFIB January Jobs Report: NFIB launched Small Business Employment Index which fell nearly 1 point to 101.6 in...

Source: NFIB

Metric: Small Business Employment Index (new, integrates employment/compensation changes)

Timeframe: January 2026

Key Data Point(s):
-...

Key BLS JOLTS metrics signal blue-collar hiring uptick:

• 292,000 openings in Dec, +8K MoM/+87K YoY
• 3.4% unfilled rate, from historic lows
• Hiring...

Source: Bank of America Institute

Metric: After-tax wage growth by income group

Timeframe: January (reported Feb. 5)

Key Data Points:
-...

JOLTS December 2025 Highlights

• 🔥 Job Openings Drop: US job openings fell to 6.5 million in December from a revised 6.9 million in November and...

• Job Openings: Fell to 6.5 million in December from revised 6.9 million in November, lowest since Sept. 2020 and 2017 levels despite growth.
• Quits...

Key U.S. labor metrics:

• ADP Hiring: Private payrolls +22,000 jobs; healthcare up, white-collar & manufacturing down sharply
• AI Skills Demand:...

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) JOLTS
Metric: Job Openings
Timeframe: Forecast released Feb 3, 2026, for vacancies as of last business day of...

ADP NER Pulse Latest Estimate

• 🔥 U.S. private employers added an average of 7,750 jobs per week for the four weeks ending January 3, 2026,...