US Market Pulse

Geo-tensions whipsaw oil 15%+: Feb 28 war sparks $119 peak; Wed ceasefire tanks Brent to $94.26, US crude $96.96, S&P futures +2%.

• Weekend Islamabad...

Index Performance & Rotations

• 🔥 S&P 500 Weekly Gain: S&P 500 posted a weekly gain of 0.8% closing at 5,823.62 after volatile week with rotation...

Oil spike flags enduring supply risks:

• WTI rebounds 5.83% to $99.91 (briefly over $100) from Wed's $94.41 close
• Driven by doubts on Iran-US...

• Consolidation range: Fluctuated ~80 points from 5,768 to 5,850 peak, +0.8% weekly close at 5,823, broad participation with 320 gainers Friday.
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Post-Iran rebound risks shaky footing from short covering and position shuffling, with NYSE Arms Index at 1.39—highest since 2024—showing weak volume...

• Vast majority of Fed officials see progress to 2% target slower than expected
• Key PCE gauge drops Thursday 8:30 ET: core expected tame vs. hot...

Structural vol drivers ahead for US equities—not Iran:

• Market concentration: AI boom creates top-heavy S&P/Nasdaq (highest since 1932), risking...

Tech rotation alert: Semis soaring while software crumbles—key divergence for traders.

• SOXX up ~25% from March 30 low, record highs last 3...

Market Futures Slip on Trump Iran Warning

• 🔥 Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Down 0.1%: Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq futures slipped 0.1% late Thursday as...

Oil rallies amid Gulf shocks:

• Brent +0.87% to $96.75, WTI +1.06% to $98.91 after strikes on Saudi facilities
• Saudi output cut 600k bpd, East-West...

Headline CPI hits 3.3% YoY—highest since May 2024—fueled by Iran conflict energy shock, with gas surging 21.2% MoM (record since 1967) accounting for...

US gas prices hit $4.17/gal post-Trump's Iran truce, with Hormuz traffic at lows (5 ships Wed vs 130 pre-war).

• Fragile truce risks: Iran demands...

Geopolitical risks elevate oil, pressure equities:

• WTI crude hits 4-year high of $115 amid Strait of Hormuz blockade.
• Trump warns Iran on transit...

Extreme split exposes Gulf supply crunch despite US-Iran truce:

• Dated Brent rebounds to $132 (+7%); Forties hits $147 record, $50 over futures...

Premarket Declines on Fragile Iran Ceasefire

• 🔥 Futures Slide: Dow futures down 176 points or 0.4%, S&P 500 futures -0.3%, Nasdaq 100 futures...

• Oil rebound whiplash: WTI surges 8.1% to $102.09 (after -16% Wed), Brent +4.7% to $99.16, but weekly ~10% drop amid Strait access doubts—only 3...

Stagflation alert from US services sector:

• March ISM PMI drops 2.1 pts to 54.0, missing exp 54.9
• Employment index plunges 6.6 pts to 45.2, lowest since Dec 2023
  Weak jobs data amid expansion flags labor cooling—watch yields, Fed odds pre-CPI.

US Indices Snapback on Ceasefire

• 🔥 Major Indices Recover Losses: Three major US indices recovered intraday losses during April 7 trading after...

Geopolitical thaw drives sharp market pivot after Trump's threat sparked intraday drops (Nasdaq -1.8%, S&P -1.2%).

• Equities recover: S&P/Nasdaq flip...

• Oil jumps sharply: WTI crude +3% to nearly $116/bbl, Brent tops $110/bbl after US strikes Iran's Kharg Island oil export hub (90% of exports).
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