Large‑scale winter storms and cold outbreaks affecting North America in winter 2025–26, with emphasis on storm sequence, forecasts and regional impacts
Winter 2025–26 Storms Across North America
Unprecedented Winter of 2025–26 Continues to Unfold: A Sequence of Storms, Cold, and Complex Hazards Across North America
The winter of 2025–26 remains one of the most extraordinary and tumultuous seasons in recent North American history. Driven by a complex interplay of atmospheric anomalies, oceanic shifts, and climate variability, this relentless season has unleashed a series of extreme weather events—ranging from historic cold spells and record mountain snowfall to powerful coastal storms and widespread flooding. Recent developments underscore that this turbulent pattern persists, with new hazards emerging and regional impacts intensifying across the continent.
A Multi-Week Crisis Driven by Atmospheric and Oceanic Instability
Since late fall, North America has grappled with a multifaceted weather crisis fueled by destabilized atmospheric systems:
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Disrupted Polar Vortex and Arctic Cold Surges:
An early-season stratospheric warming event destabilized the polar vortex, allowing Arctic air masses to plunge deep into the continent. This resulted in:- Ontario experiencing temperatures as low as −43.7°C, the coldest since 1982.
- Winds exceeding 120 km/h across Quebec, Newfoundland, and northeastern regions, causing widespread power outages and infrastructure stress.
- Persistent cold outbreaks coupled with intense wind events, amplifying their destructive potential.
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Persistent Atmospheric Rivers and Mountain Snowfall:
Continuous moisture transport from the Pacific has led to mountain snow accumulations surpassing 4 to 5 feet in ranges such as the Rockies, Sierra Nevada, and Cascades. These heavy snowfalls have:- Elevated avalanche risks, endangering residents, outdoor enthusiasts, and rescue teams.
- Disrupted transportation corridors—roads and rail lines—hindering supply chains and emergency responses.
- Created a record-breaking mountain snowpack, complicating avalanche forecasting and rescue efforts.
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Climate Variability and ENSO Transition:
As the climate transitions from nearly two years of La Niña toward neutral or weak El Niño conditions, this variability has prolonged storm trains and sustained cold spells. These factors foster a multi-hazard environment impacting energy, transportation, and safety nationwide.
Key Regional Developments and Their Impacts
Western North America: A Brief Reprieve and Ongoing Hazards
A notable recent development has been the temporary retreat of the polar vortex, leading to a short-lived lull in extreme cold and storm activity across western regions—particularly the Rockies, Pacific Northwest, and California. The report "Polar vortex retreats as new pattern brings rare western snow relief" highlights this shift:
- This brief respite has allowed recovery efforts and a temporary easing of cold and storm conditions.
- Despite calmer weather, high-elevation avalanche dangers remain high, posing threats to outdoor safety and transportation.
- Mountain snow continues to be heavy and hazardous, maintaining high avalanche risk and ongoing disruptions.
California’s Central Coast: Facing Cascading Hazards
Recent storms have significantly impacted California’s Monterey County and surrounding areas. The article "Monterey County, Central Coast feeling the brunt of latest storm and cold air mass" emphasizes:
- Intense rainfall, gusty winds, and cold air influxes leading to localized flooding, wind damage, and saturated soils.
- The risk of landslides remains elevated due to soil saturation, threatening communities and infrastructure.
- Power outages and road closures caused by debris and saturated ground continue to challenge emergency responses.
- These hazards demand vigorous debris cleanup and adaptive recovery efforts, amidst persistent storm activity.
The Mid-February Warm-up and Early Spring Signals
Despite ongoing cold outbreaks, parts of the Midwest—including Detroit and Grand Rapids—have experienced temperatures 10–20°F above normal from February 16–20. This unseasonable warmth accelerates snowmelt and raises flood risks. The rapid transition from winter to early spring conditions creates a dangerous cycle of rapid melting followed by refreezing, complicating winter management.
Early signs of spring are emerging across the Northeast and Southeast, with warmer temperatures and increased sunshine forecast into late February and March. The "Massachusetts Weather Alert" warns of accelerated snowmelt and potential flooding, while southeastern states like Wilmington, NC, are experiencing above-normal temperatures. These patterns challenge traditional expectations of winter retreat and heighten flood hazards from combined snowmelt and rainfall.
Latest Developments and Expanding Hazards
Respite and Persistent Threats
Recent updates, such as "Mild Wednesday evening; Weather Impact Alert Day for fog Thursday morning" from WTOL, highlight periods of milder weather—notably Wednesday evenings—followed by fog and reduced visibility on Thursday mornings across parts of the Midwest and East. These conditions pose additional hazards for travelers.
New weather advisories include:
- "Winter Weather Advisory Issued as Snow Expected to Impact Central Iowa Travel" warns of slick roads and low visibility.
- "LOCAL ALERT WEATHER DAY: THURSDAY, areas of snow will impact the High Desert" reports ongoing high-elevation winter hazards in Oregon.
- The Southeast remains stormy, with "Alabama's weather gets stormy before much colder weather arrives this weekend", signaling an upcoming sharp cold front with significantly colder temperatures.
Emerging Severe Weather Threats
In addition to snow and cold, severe thunderstorms are forecast for the Midwest and South, bringing risks of hail, damaging winds, and isolated tornadoes. Articles like "What to know about potential for severe storms Thursday evening and night" emphasize:
- The likelihood of severe thunderstorms impacting central and southern regions Thursday evening into night.
- The importance of public awareness and preparedness in vulnerable communities.
Coastal Storms and Bomb Cyclones
A highly significant recent development is the forecast for multiple coastal storms, including nor'easters and bomb cyclones, threatening the densely populated I-95 corridor and major cities such as New York City and Boston. The article "Brewing Nor'easter Takes Aim At I-95 Corridor With Potential For Heavy Snow, Vicious Winds" warns of 12–18 inches of snow in NYC and Boston, coupled with powerful winds capable of widespread outages.
Adding to this, "Another Bomb Cyclone Could Slam NYC This Weekend" reports that a rapidly intensifying coastal storm may produce heavy snow, gusty winds, and travel chaos, potentially rivaling recent historic winter storms. The National Weather Service has issued major blizzard warnings for the region, emphasizing the possibility of historic snowfall and dangerous wind conditions.
Recent Impacts and Public Response
- "NYC Blizzard Alert 🚨 — This Storm Could Shut Down the City!" (YouTube, 0:52) warns residents of a potentially historic blizzard that could paralyze transportation and power.
- "Some travelers turned away from Yosemite due to winter weather" highlights how heavy snow and winter storms have shut down access to key outdoor destinations, delaying travel plans and complicating emergency logistics.
- "All of New Jersey Under A Blizzard Warning For the First Time In 30 years From Historic Bomb Cyclone" underscores the unprecedented severity of the ongoing storm, with authorities preparing for historic snowfall and widespread disruptions.
Specific Recent Event: Cleveland Airport Disruptions
Adding to the chaos, "Winter weather impacts travel at Cleveland Hopkins Airport" reports significant disruptions:
- Travel delays and cancellations due to snow and ice.
- Operational challenges affecting thousands of passengers.
- The airport remains a critical hub, and ongoing winter weather continues to complicate air travel in the region.
New Development: Lexington Strengthens Ice Response
Amidst the ongoing storm chaos, "Lexington mayor announces plans to strengthen ice response" emphasizes:
- Enhanced snow and ice removal strategies.
- Increased staffing and resource allocation to clear roads swiftly.
- Community outreach programs to ensure vulnerable populations are protected during icy conditions.
This proactive approach aims to reduce accidents, improve mobility, and minimize winter storm impacts on residents and infrastructure.
The Canadian Perspective: Confirmed and Intensifying Threats
Adding an international dimension, Canada’s national forecast (February 24, 2026), reinforced by meteorologist Chris Potter, emphasizes that Canada remains under significant winter storm and cold threat. The forecast warns of:
- Continued Arctic cold surges affecting eastern provinces.
- Multiple coastal storms impacting Atlantic regions, with potential heavy snowfall and high winds.
- Severe snow and ice conditions across the Prairies and central Canada, complicating transportation and emergency responses.
This ongoing pattern underscores that the entire North American continent is experiencing a synchronized multi-hazard winter, with Canada confronting its own set of escalating risks.
The Road Ahead: Late Winter and Early Spring Outlook
While the cold and storm activity remains intense, recent forecasts and regional signals suggest a potential shift toward early spring conditions:
- Spring 2026 forecast for Central Texas has been released, indicating above-normal temperatures and early warmth. As reported by KXAN, "AUSTIN (KXAN) — Meteorological winter is wrapping up very warm with a stretch of 80s to end February," signaling an abrupt transition. This early warmth is likely to accelerate snowmelt across northern regions, heightening flood risks.
- Across the Northeast and Southeast, warmer temperatures and increased sunshine are forecast into late February and March, potentially triggering early snowmelt and flood concerns. The "Massachusetts Weather Alert" warns of flooding from rapid snowmelt, while southeastern cities like Wilmington, NC, are experiencing above-normal temperatures.
This transition toward early spring is complicated by the existing snowpack and ice, which, combined with recent heavy rains, may produce compound flood hazards.
Current Status and Implications
The ongoing sequence of storms, cold outbreaks, and complex hazards underscores the unprecedented intensity and persistence of the 2025–26 winter. Major coastal bomb cyclones, historic snowfall, and severe cold continue to threaten urban centers, transportation networks, and vulnerable populations.
Key implications include:
- The necessity for rigorous real-time monitoring of atmospheric drivers such as stratospheric warming events, atmospheric rivers, and ENSO transitions.
- The importance of adaptive emergency planning to address compound hazards—from snow and ice to flooding and severe storms.
- The critical role of public preparedness, especially for rapidly evolving winter and early spring conditions.
As late winter transitions into early spring, the region must remain vigilant. The persistent hazards and emerging signals of early warmth highlight the evolving climate landscape and the need for resilient infrastructure, proactive response strategies, and informed communities.
Recent Major Storm Event: Northeast Winter Storm
A particularly impactful recent development is the "Major Winter Storm Slams Northeast U.S. ❄️ Severe Snow & Travel Chaos" (YouTube, 0:52), illustrating the scale of ongoing winter impact. Heavy snowfall, fierce winds, and dangerously cold wind chills have led to widespread disruptions, with authorities warning residents to brace for historic totals and hazardous conditions.
In Summary
The 2025–26 winter vividly demonstrates how atmospheric anomalies, oceanic shifts, and climate variability combine to produce a multi-layered, multi-hazard environment—from mountain avalanches and inland floods to coastal bomb cyclones and severe thunderstorms. Despite some brief periods of relief, the overall pattern remains stormy and volatile, emphasizing the urgent need for preparedness, resilience, and adaptive responses.
As the season progresses, the dominant narrative is one of resilience amidst chaos, with communities across North America navigating an unprecedented winter landscape shaped by the evolving climate system. The ongoing hazards serve as a stark reminder of the challenges ahead and the importance of comprehensive strategies to mitigate impacts and protect lives and infrastructure.