Iran War Risk Digest

US-Iran Strikes Intensify

• 🔥 Airstrikes and Retaliation: The United States conducted new airstrikes on Iranian targets after announcing another...

Mediation Initiatives

• Iraq's New US-Iran Initiative: Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi is traveling to Tehran this week with a Baghdad-backed...

US forces launched a ninth straight night of strikes targeting Iranian military sites and coastal facilities to curb threats in the Strait of Hormuz....

Iran's FM Araghchi pushes US negotiations even at a 10% success chance, citing persistent mistrust yet refusing to abandon diplomacy.

• Iraq's PM...

• Brent crude surged past $90 to $91.42 and WTI hit $84 as US-Iran strikes escalated over the weekend and Hormuz traffic slowed sharply.
• Futures now...

Two analyses reveal the strategic contradiction in the US-Iran conflict:

• Escalation warnings: Strikes have expanded to infrastructure and the Strait...

• IAEA confirms Darquwin facility holds no nuclear material amid early construction, yet monitoring remains limited after 2025 strikes.
• Iran...

US forces completed their seventh consecutive night of strikes on Iranian surveillance sites, logistics hubs, and maritime assets near the Strait of...

Hormuz Strait Closure and Energy Risks

• 🔥 Iran seals Strait: Iran’s IRGC Navy declared the Strait of Hormuz fully sealed after two oil tankers...

The 60-day U.S.-Iran deal has collapsed into widening strikes and a restored blockade, yet the White House keeps signaling openness to talks.

• U.S....

• Sharp criticism: VP Vance alleged Israeli officials ran a well-funded campaign to sabotage US-Iran negotiations and prolong military action.
  -...

Iran's tanker attacks have escalated the Strait of Hormuz into the central battleground, shifting from targeted strikes to full closure with major...

US airstrikes have shifted from coastal retaliation to systematic targeting of Iran's military infrastructure around the Strait of Hormuz.

After...

The islands of Abu Musa and the Greater and Lesser Tunbs—totaling just 10 square miles—function as Iranian bases for missiles, fast boats, and air...

Energy Market Pressures

• 🔥 Diesel Prices Surge: Average US diesel prices have risen above $5 per gallon due to heightened tensions over the...

US airstrikes have rapidly intensified after the MOU collapse, expanding from shipping targets to infrastructure deeper inside Iran including bridges,...

US gas prices near $4/gallon and diesel exceeds $5 amid Strait of Hormuz tensions.

• Households absorbed $60 billion in extra energy costs, averaging...

India's first crude tanker has successfully crossed the Strait of Hormuz amid the Israel-Iran war, delivering Saudi oil to Mumbai and easing immediate...

No significant updates today.

US reimposed a full naval blockade on Iran effective July 14, with Trump demanding control of the Strait and a 20% tariff on transit. Iran rejects any...