Midterms 2026: Generic ballot, House flip odds, California primary, state-level signals
Key Questions
What do recent polls show for the 2026 midterms?
Democrats lead the generic ballot by 7.7 points with 81% odds to flip the House. Trump's disapproval is at 63%, 26 points underwater.
What is happening in the California primary?
California holds its primary for the gubernatorial race involving Becerra, Steyer, and Hilton. Results will influence House redistricting and midterm control.
How are Hispanic voters shifting in battlegrounds?
A new UnidosUS poll shows 28% of 2024 Trump Latino voters would not support him again. 84% report financial strain and 85% criticize Congress ceding authority.
New polls show Democrats up 7.7 points on generic ballot, 81% odds to flip House, Senate toss-up. Trump's approval tanking; consumer confidence collapse. AIPAC/Israel wedge adds new dimension. California primary day — gubernatorial race (Becerra, Steyer, Hilton) and House redistricting implications for midterm control. New poll data: Trump disapproval at 63%, 26 points underwater; 'No Kings' movement gaining traction. May 19 results, DNC autopsy, Ken Martin test. Academic study shows widening partisan gap in civil rights legislation support since 1990s. New UnidosUS poll: 28% of 2024 Trump Latino voters would not vote for him again; 84% financially strained; 85% say Congress ceding authority. These battleground districts are critical for House control.