********Macro: US-Iran ceasefire oil drop/Trump vs CPI Apr10 binary for BTC/ETH vol amid ETF flows********
Key Questions
How is the US-Iran ceasefire affecting markets?
Two-week ceasefire dropped oil prices, sent global stocks/SPX soaring risk-on. Aids BTC 70k+/ETH rotation FOMO. Trump deadline chaos initially lifted crypto.
What is the importance of April 10 CPI data?
CPI print binary for BTC/ETH vol: soft data eyes 110k, hot risks 60k. Make-or-break for $75k push amid ETF flows. FOMC/jobs/VIX to filter.
How do macro events tie to crypto?
Ceasefire risk-on vs Trump/CPI caution; Jiang short signals risk-off. US-Iran tensions accelerate liquidity contraction, deleveraging. Oil short bets question BTC if crash.
What other macro factors influence BTC/ETH?
FOMC, jobs data, VIX volatility filters post-ceasefire. ETF/insti buys vs bull trap warns. Geopolitics dominate over crypto-specifics.
Is there caution amid the risk-on sentiment?
Yes, Trump/CPI Apr10 binary, Jiang ETH short at 2242 ties risk-off. Macro uncertainty despite ceasefire boost. Pullbacks to key supports noted.
2wk US-Iran ceasefire oil $110/SPX soar risk-on FOMO aids 70k+/ETH rotation but Trump/CPI Apr10 (soft=110k/hot=60k)/FOMC/jobs/VIX filters; Jiang short ties risk-off caution vs ETF/insti buys/bull trap warns.