US-Iran Shadow War and Militia Weapons Crisis

The militia weapons dispute remains at peak intensity before the September 30 transition. Alleged drone attacks from Maysan toward Saudi Arabia, Iraqi seizures and border closures, and reported militia-Houthi coordination have intensified demands that Iraq control its territory, while Baghdad still lacks dependable coercive leverage. YBŞ’s reported agreement to disarm or integrate roughly 5,000 fighters offers a possible model, but the distinction between genuine disarmament and state-supervised retention of weapons remains unresolved.