Government Funding Fight and Shutdown Risk

House passes clean CR through Dec. 4; Senate faces 60-vote hurdle. Shutdown odds 41-48%. SAVE Act rider a poison pill. Thune pivots to budget resolution but lacks votes. Bipartisan Lankford-Hassan proposal for auto-extension. Only 11 days in session before Sept. 30 deadline. Democrats signal they want to avoid shutdown; Schumer and Murray open to short-term CR but red lines on ICE funding.